Adelaide vs. Melbourne Predictions – AFL Round 17 2025

We have Adelaide vs. Melbourne predictions for action on Sunday July 6 at 3:20pm at Adelaide Oval.

Adelaide is a firm favourite to hand Melbourne another loss, and it’s tough to look past the home team on Sunday.

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Adelaide vs. Melbourne Predictions

Best Bet

Adelaide -25.5 @ $1.90

Adelaide has three wins by 66+ points in its last five games, so covering a –25.5 line against Melbourne shouldn’t be hard.

This is one of our more confident bets of the week, especially with Melbourne coming off four consecutive losses. The Demons are battling their demons, and playing at the Adelaide Oval only adds to their troubles.

This is a happy hunting ground for the Crows, who play their best footy at home, and we’re surprised AFL odds haven’t taken more money for them. The only recent loss for the Crows came to Hawthorn 47-44, and they lost no admirers with that performance.

Take the line before punters wise up and jump on the number.

Same Game Multi

Adelaide –25.5 H2H, Kyasaiah Pickett 2+ Goals, Riley Thilthorpe 2+ Goals, Total Match Points Over 172.5 @ $7.50

Kyasaiah Pickett and Riley Thilthorpe are our best goal-scoring picks for this game. Pickett has been excellent in a bad team, scoring 14 goals from his last five games, and punters get a value $2 price for him.

Thilthorpe isn’t paying as generously with bookmakers, but after scoring five goals last week, he’s ready to fire in another strong performance. He is their best goal-scoring option, so include him in AFL same game multi picks.

Over 172.5 is being included in what should be an open contest. The Crows know how to put up big totals against bad teams, and if Melbourne can score anywhere around 60-70 points, that should be enough for the over to cash.

Best Value Bet

Sam Berry Anytime Goal Scorer @ $3.60

Boasting two goals from his last five games, including one last, Sam Berry has every chance of adding to his tally on Sunday.

He is making the most of his opportunities for the Crows, and punters get much better odds than we expected. Include him in AFL picks as a value play.

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Daryl Curnow

About Daryl Curnow

After graduating from the University of Auckland (BA - English), Daryl was thrown into the world of sports and horse racing journalism.

Having worked as a racing journalist for two years, he decided to move into the online world of horse racing and sports writing. After years of honing his craft, Daryl became a professional punter in 2009 - with a focus on horse racing, NRL, AFL, NBA, Rugby, NFL, and US college sports.

Daryl's tips have been featured on various websites around the world before joining the GoBet team. When he's not working, Daryl tries to avoid making bogeys on the golf course.