AFL Round 19 Expert Tips & Predictions 2025

The AFL continues this week for Round 19 action, kicking off with Essendon vs GWS on Thursday night.

We have AFL betting tips for every game in 2025, including this week’s featured games between Brisbane vs. Western Bulldogs, Hawthorn vs. Port Adelaide, and Adelaide vs. Gold Coast.

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AFL Round 19 Tips

Thursday 17/7/25

7:30pm Essendon vs. GWS @ Marvel Stadium

Betting Tip: GWS –32.5 @ $1.90

It’s time to leave Essendon for another day because its recent form has been close to terrible.

Looking to take advantage of the Bombers are the Giants, who posted a big win over Geelong last week, and that’s an excellent effort.

Covering a –32.5 spread against an Essendon team coming off its worst performance of 2025 shouldn’t be too hard.

GWS by 44

Friday 18/7/25

7:40pm Brisbane vs. Western Bulldogs @ Gabba

Betting Tip: Brisbane –9.5 @ $1.90

This is a heavyweight clash between Brisbane and Western Bulldogs, and we’re backing Brisbane to come out on top at home.

Playing at The Gabba is a huge asset to last year’s champions, and they’re good enough to cover the –9.5 spread against a Bulldogs team that doesn’t play as well on the road.

Take the line before money comes for the home side.

Brisbane by 14

Saturday 19/7/25

1:20pm Hawthorn vs. Port Adelaide @ University of Tasmania Stadium

Betting Tip: Port Adelaide +21.5 @ $1.90

We typically back Hawthorn, especially at UoT Stadium, but Port Adelaide betting a +21.5 start is too good to turn down.

The Power are playing well enough to push the Hawks close, and although they’re outside the top eight currently, we think they make a push for a playoff spot.

This is a big game in the context of Port Adelaide’s playoff push, so we’re backing them to at least keep it close.

Port Adelaide by 4

4:15pm Sydney vs. North Melbourne @ SCG

Betting Tip: Sydney –36.5 @ $1.90

Sydney is another team pushing for a late push, and it should fancy itself to beat the struggling North Melbourne Kangaroos.

North Melbourne kept it close against Melbourne this week, but with Sydney’s midfield working well, it should get plenty of chances to kick goals against a struggling Kangaroos defence.

Taking a –36.5 line for Sydney requires some guts, but the home side should flex its muscles.

Sydney by 40

7:35pm Carlton vs. Melbourne @ MCG

Betting Tip: Melbourne –7.5 @ $1.90

It wasn’t long ago when Carlton would have been a firm favourite to beat Melbourne, but Carlton is struggling to put wins on the board, and Melbourne has improved over the last five weeks.

It has been a struggle for both teams in 2025, but we liked what Melbourne’s offence produced against North Melbourne, and we’re not sure where Carlton’s head is at.

Most of the early money with AFL odds has come for Melbourne, so follow the money.

Melbourne by 16

8:10pm West Coast vs. Richmond @ Optus Stadium

Betting Tip: Richmond @ $2.22

Looking to score rare consecutive wins is Richmond, who didn’t need many points to score a win over Essendon last week.

The Tigers might not need many points to beat West Coast on Saturday night, and it’s a rare occasion to see the Eagles favoured to beat any team in the AFL.

Getting $2.22 for Richmond is a good line, so take the value for the underdog.

Richmond by 8

Sunday 20/7/25

1:10pm Geelong vs. St Kilda @ GMHBA Stadium

Betting Tip: Geelong -33.5 @ $1.90

Not much went right for Geelong last week, but the Cats get a good chance to bounce back against a struggling St Kilda on Sunday.

These are the games where Geelong typically thrives, and its midfield aggression could see St Kilda give up a wealth of early points. The Saints have struggled against the top teams, and Geelong looks to keep its top four spot alive.

Take the –33.5 line as most of the money should come for the Cats.

Geelong by 36

3:15pm Collingwood vs. Fremantle @ MCG

Betting Tip: Fremantle +22.5 @ $1.90

It could be a sticky game for Collingwood, which leads the competition, but Fremantle is the more desperate team.

The Dockers sit precariously in eighth spot on the AFL ladder, so a good performance against Collingwood is needed to stay in the hunt.

The +22.5 line is generous enough in what could be a defensive battle.

Collingwood by 10

4:40pm Adelaide vs. Gold Coast @ Adelaide Oval

Betting Tip: Adelaide –15.5 @ $1.90

We love backing Adelaide at home, and although Gold Coast has been good recently, the Crows could produce their best on Sunday night.

Sitting in third on the ladder, the Crows are playing better than expected, but they’re still not being given too much respect by bookmakers.

The –15.5 line is worth including in AFL picks, and we’re confident in their chances of winning.

Adelaide by 24

Daryl Curnow

About Daryl Curnow

After graduating from the University of Auckland (BA - English), Daryl was thrown into the world of sports and horse racing journalism. Having worked as a racing journalist for two years, he decided to move into the online world of horse racing and sports writing. After years of honing his craft, Daryl became a professional punter in 2009 - with a focus on horse racing, NRL, AFL, NBA, Rugby, NFL, and US college sports. Daryl's tips have been featured on various websites around the world before joining the GoBet team. When he's not working, Daryl tries to avoid making bogeys on the golf course.

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