AFL Round 23 Expert Tips & Predictions

The AFL continues this week for Round 23 action, kicking off with Essendon vs Sydney on Friday night.

We have AFL betting tips for every game in 2024, including this weeks’ featured games between GWS vs Fremantle and Port Adelaide vs Adelaide.

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AFL Round 23 Tips

Friday 16/8/24

7:40pm Essendon Bombers vs Sydney Swans @ Marvel Stadium

It’s becoming a season of ‘if only’ for Essendon, which lost a heartbreaker last week against the Gold Coast Suns.

Another big test comes on Friday against the Swans, who lead the AFL competition after pulling off a tough win last week.

We’re happy to back Essendon to win again, but it’s on its last chance. Getting $2.55 is a fair price from bookmakers, so we’re grabbing it.

Betting tip: Essendon @ $2.55

Essendon by 6

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Saturday 17/8/24

1:45pm Gold Coast Suns vs Melbourne Demons @ People First Stadium

The Suns showed off their goods against Essendon last week, and we’re not surprised to see them favoured to win.

Playing at home is always an asset for the Suns, and they often play their best footy on Saturday afternoon.

We haven’t seen enough from Melbourne to recommend backing it.

Betting tip: Gold Coast –11.5 @ $1.90

Gold Coast by 14

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1:45pm GWS Giants vs Fremantle Dockers @ ENGIE Stadium

The Giants have worked their way up to third on the ladder, and they could cement their spot with a win over Fremantle.

The Dockers have been tough to follow at the best of times, and they could be falling away at the wrong time of the year.

Money is with the Giants, and we’re confident in taking the –11.5 line.

Betting tip: GWS –11.5 @ $1.90

GWS by 16

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4:35pm Collingwood Magpies vs Brisbane Lions @ MCG

Brisbane comes off a disappointing loss last week, but it gets a great chance to rebound against Collingwood.

The Magpies played well against the Swans, but it wasn’t enough to secure the win it so desperately needs.

It should be a close contest, but the Lions have more upside, and the –8.5 line is too generous to pass up.

Betting tip: Brisbane –8.5 @ $1.90

Brisbane by 14

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7:30pm Port Adelaide Power vs Adelaide Crows @ Adelaide Oval

We love the all-Adelaide game and we’re surprised by the odds released by bookmakers.

The Power are $1.54 favourites despite being second on the ladder, which should have punters worried about taking them to win.

There is enough betting support for the Crows to suggest they can win, and the $2.49 and +11.5 is worth locking in for the Adelaide derby.

Betting tip: Adelaide +11.5 @ $1.90

Adelaide by 3

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7:30pm St Kilda Saints vs Geelong Cats @ Marvel Stadium

There is more upside with the Cats than the Saints, and we’re happy to lock in the odds and include them in AFL multis.

They are a top four team with aspirations of the title, and although the Saints can be tough to beat, they might have given up the ghost.

It should be a comfortable win for the Cats at Marvel Stadium.

Betting tip: Geelong –11.5 @ $1.90

Geelong by 20

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Sunday 18/8/24

1:10pm Western Bulldogs vs North Melbourne Kangaroos @ Marvel Stadium

Looking to rebound following a poor loss are the Bulldogs, who get the right recipe for success this week.

The North Melbourne Kangaroos couldn’t even get past the West Coast Eagles last week, so they will struggle on Sunday.

Covering a –38.5 spread isn’t easy, but it should be a one-sided game and the Bulldogs will pull away for a big victory.

Betting tip: Bulldogs –38.5 @ $1.90

Bulldogs by 44

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3:20pm Hawthorn Hawks vs Richmond Tigers @ MCG

One of the form teams in the competition are the Hawks, who have made it into the top eight at the right time of the season.

It’s why they are the heavily favoured team against the lowly Tigers, who can’t seem to do much right in 2024.

It’s another big line of –36.5 points, but the Hawks are steamrolling towards the playoffs as a sneaky team to beat.

Betting tip: Hawthorn –36.5 @ $1.90

Hawthorn by 44

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4:40pm West Coast Eagles vs Carlton Blues @ Optus Stadium

The Eagles scored a rare win last week, but it came against the North Melbourne Kangaroos.

Looking to bounce back from a poor loss are the Blues, who have slipped out of the top eight, so they are the more desperate team.

We’re happy to include them in our picks at the –15.5 line.

Betting tip: Carlton –15.5 @ $1.90

Carlton by 21

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Daryl Curnow

About Daryl Curnow

After graduating from the University of Auckland (BA - English), Daryl was thrown into the world of sports and horse racing journalism. Having worked as a racing journalist for two years, he decided to move into the online world of horse racing and sports writing. After years of honing his craft, Daryl became a professional punter in 2009 - with a focus on horse racing, NRL, AFL, NBA, Rugby, NFL, and US college sports. Daryl's tips have been featured on various websites around the world before joining the GoBet team. When he's not working, Daryl tries to avoid making bogeys on the golf course.

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