AFL Round 3 2025 Expert Tips & Predictions

The AFL continues with Round 3 action, starting on Thursday with Essendon vs Port Adelaide at Marvel Stadium.

We have AFL betting tips for every game in 2025, including this weeks’ featured games between Carlton vs Bulldogs, Hawthorn vs GWS, and Brisbane vs Geelong.

AFL Round 3 Tips

Thursday 27/3/25

7:30pm Essendon Bombers vs Port Adelaide Power @ Marvel Stadium

There isn’t much going right for Essendon after another heavy loss to the Crows last week, but things can turn around in a week.

They are hoping to get things started against the Power on Thursday, and although Port has shown some signs of life in 2025, beating Richmond isn’t always the best form guide.

Punters get $2.23 for the Bombers to win, so include them in your AFL picks.

Betting tip: Essendon Bombers @ $2.23

Essendon by 11

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Friday 28/3/25

7:40pm Carlton Blues vs Western Bulldogs @ Marvel Stadium

Carlton put up a good fight against Hawthorn but were outclassed late. However, the Blues should bounce back against the Bulldogs.

The early signs were positive for the Bulldogs against Collingwood last week, but they couldn’t keep it together in the second half. That’s a worrying sign, and we’re not thrilled with the odds available with bookmakers.

There is better value with Carlton at $1.90.

Betting tip: Carlton Blues @ $1.90

Carlton by 6

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Saturday 29/3/25

1:20pm Melbourne Demons vs Gold Coast Suns @ MCG

We didn’t see much from Melbourne last week in a poor performance, so we’re going with a team with much more upside.

There were criticisms of the Demons before the year started and they have come to fruition. They’re not a good team, and looking to capitalise are the Suns, who find themselves inside the top eight.

We’re taking the $1.90 for the Suns as it could firm throughout the week.

Betting tip: Gold Coast Suns @ $1.90

Suns by 11

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4:15pm St Kilda Saints vs Richmond Tigers @ Marvel Stadium

Most of the early money has come for the Saints, which isn’t surprising given the level of opposition this Saturday.

The Tigers might have pulled off an early upset, but they’re regressing back to where we expected, and the Saints should take advantage with a one-sided win.

The –25.5 line is generous, and it should be an onslaught.

Betting tip: St Kilda Saints –25.5 @ $1.90

St Kilda by 40

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7:35pm Hawthorn Hawks vs GWS Giants @ UoT Stadium

It’s a top three battle between the Hawks and Giants, and after starting perfect, we’re sticking with the Hawks to get it done.

We love the progression of this team, which went through many years of struggles, but they have come out the other side with a team packed full of talent.

They are good enough to beat the Giants, who are a tough team to beat, but we can’t turn down the –12.5 line with the favourites.

Betting tip: Hawthorn Hawks –12.5 @ $1.90

Hawks by 18

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7:35pm Brisbane Lions vs Geelong Cats @ Gabba

Last year’s champions don’t look as good so far, but the Lions are going enough to remain favourites against teams like the Cats.

We have liked the Lions’ defence, and it could give the Cats some problems, especially with the game being played at the Gabba. It’s a tough venue for road teams, hence the money coming for the Lions.

Include the Lions in AFL multis this week.

Betting tip: Brisbane Lions –13.5 @ $1.90

Brisbane by 22

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Sunday 30/3/25

3:20pm Adelaide Crows vs North Melbourne Kangaroos @ Adelaide Oval

The Crows were far too good for the Bombers last week, and it was an impressive performance from a team that has struggled in the early rounds in past seasons.

Beating the Kangaroos, despite them playing well last week, shouldn’t prove difficult, and that’s reflected in betting markets, which have the Crows at $1.10.

Covering a –41.5 line isn’t easy, but we’re not backing the Kangaroos away from home.

Betting tip: Adelaide Crows –41.5 @ $1.90

Adelaide by 47

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6:10pm West Coast Eagles vs Fremantle Dockers @ Optus Stadium

If the Dockers want to be a legitimate top eight threat, they need to score big wins over teams like the Eagles.

West Coast might be good for the odd win, but the club isn’t consistent enough, and its top-end ability is capped quite low. That’s not the same for the Dockers, who have quality players that can break any game open.

It’s all about confidence, and the Dockers should get some back on Sunday.

Betting tip: Fremantle Dockers –24.5 @ $1.90

Dockers by 30

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Daryl Curnow

About Daryl Curnow

After graduating from the University of Auckland (BA - English), Daryl was thrown into the world of sports and horse racing journalism. Having worked as a racing journalist for two years, he decided to move into the online world of horse racing and sports writing. After years of honing his craft, Daryl became a professional punter in 2009 - with a focus on horse racing, NRL, AFL, NBA, Rugby, NFL, and US college sports. Daryl's tips have been featured on various websites around the world before joining the GoBet team. When he's not working, Daryl tries to avoid making bogeys on the golf course.

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