Collingwood vs. Adelaide Predictions – AFL Round 1 2026

We have Collingwood vs. Adelaide predictions for AFL Round 1 on Saturday, March 14 at 7:35pm at the MCG.

Looking to remain unbeaten is Collingwood, which faces Adelaide making its season debut.

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Collingwood vs. Adelaide Predictions

Best Bet

Collingwood –5.5 @ $1.90

Collingwood relied on its defence to win its opening round clash against St Kilda, and it could repeat the dose on Saturday night.

The Magpies could shut down Adelaide, which will need to shake off the rust, and we don’t have high hopes for the Crows in 2026. They could struggle to find their offensive rhythm, and Collingwood could jump all over them.

With the likes of Jamie Elliott and Daniel McStay, Collingwood has enough depth in their goal scoring department, but their strength is in the midfield. They should dominate possession and set themselves up for many chances at goal.

The –5.5 line is generous from bookmakers, and we recommend taking it before money comes for the home team.

Same Game Multi

Collingwood -5.5, Jamie Elliott 2+ Goals, Jordan De Goey 20+ Disposals, Total Match Points Under 172.5 @ $10.00

Elliott didn’t have his best game last week with only one goal, but he is a quality goal scorer. He had 12 goals from his previous four games, and we expect him to return to that level of play against Adelaide on Saturday.

Jordan De Goey is a player who we expect a big game from. He is a $1.86 chance of recording 20+ disposals, having scored 19 last week. Improvement is expected in a game that should be kept in the trenches, and De Goey could capitalise.

For that reason, we’re including under 172.5 points in our AFL same game multi picks. They combined for 134 points in their latest meeting, which is a good form guide.

Best Value Bet

Collingwood Halftime/Fulltime @ $2.08

Collingwood should start well and keep up the pressure. The $2.08 for a halftime/fulltime win is a value price from bookmakers, and we expect money to come for them throughout the week.

Our AFL line predictions had Collingwood paying $1.92 to lead at halftime and fulltime, so the current odds are worth including in AFL picks this week as a value bet.

Backing the Magpies to win wire-to-wire at $2.65 is also worth a play.

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Daryl Curnow

About Daryl Curnow

After graduating from the University of Auckland (BA - English), Daryl was thrown into the world of sports and horse racing journalism.

Having worked as a racing journalist for two years, he decided to move into the online world of horse racing and sports writing. After years of honing his craft, Daryl became a professional punter in 2009 - with a focus on horse racing, NRL, AFL, NBA, Rugby, NFL, and US college sports.

Daryl's tips have been featured on various websites around the world before joining the GoBet team. When he's not working, Daryl tries to avoid making bogeys on the golf course.