Essendon vs. Gold Coast Predictions – AFL Round 17 2025

We have Essendon vs. Gold Coast predictions for action on Saturday July 5 at 12:35pm at Marvel Stadium.

We expect fireworks to kick off Super Saturday as the Bombers return to take on the SUNS, who are best-backed to win.

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Essendon vs. Gold Coast Predictions

Best Bet

Essendon +22.5 @ $1.90

It hasn’t been an easy 2025 for loyal Essendon supporters, but we’re going to the well one more time. They have shown us enough so far to include them at a +22.5 line against Gold Coast, and having had a week off could help.

It’s a young and inexperienced team, but that often produces upset wins. They have had some tough games recently, but the Bombers covered the spread against Brisbane and Carlton before being well-beaten by Geelong and Fremantle.

Gold Coast haven’t been overly amazing, losing three of its last four games, so Essendon could pounce and make a game of it at home. Take the +22.5 line, as it’s better than expected.

Same Game Multi

Essendon +22.5, Peter Wright 2+ Goals, Ben Long 2+ Goals, Total Match Points Over 172.5 @ $8.75

Peter Wright is the most important player for Essendon. He needs to get shot attempts on goal, and after scoring only one goal against Fremantle, he’s looking to bounce back in a big way on Saturday.

His earlier performances were much better, including nine goals from his previous four games. That form is good enough to recommend against Gold Coast, and getting $1.81 for 2+ goals is an excellent price.

Ben Long pays only $1.57, but he should also score 2+ goals. He scored two goals against Melbourne, and he’ll look to continue that form against Essendon.

We’re including over 172.5 points based on recent history. They scored totals of 173, 171, and 188 points in their last three meetings, so it will likely be right around the number.

Best Value Bet

Peter Wright First Goal Scorer @ $11.00

Wright needs to start well for Essendon to have any chance of winning this game, and we expect him to stand up to the pressure.

When he’s playing at his best, Wright likes to get on the board early, and punters get $11 for Wright to kick the opening goal. It could come soon after the opening bounce, as Essendon look to pressure Gold Coast early.

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Daryl Curnow

About Daryl Curnow

After graduating from the University of Auckland (BA - English), Daryl was thrown into the world of sports and horse racing journalism.

Having worked as a racing journalist for two years, he decided to move into the online world of horse racing and sports writing. After years of honing his craft, Daryl became a professional punter in 2009 - with a focus on horse racing, NRL, AFL, NBA, Rugby, NFL, and US college sports.

Daryl's tips have been featured on various websites around the world before joining the GoBet team. When he's not working, Daryl tries to avoid making bogeys on the golf course.