Fremantle vs. Richmond Predictions – AFL Round 3 2026

We have Fremantle vs. Richmond predictions for AFL Round 3 on Saturday, March 28 at 4:15pm at Optus Stadium.

It’s one of the biggest AFL spreads of the week as Fremantle looks to justify the –46.5 line set by bookmakers.

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Fremantle vs. Richmond Predictions

Best Bet

Fremantle –46.5 @ $1.90

Richmond is going through a tough time, and the –46.5 line is an accurate reflection of their ability. It should be an easy win for Fremantle, who bounced back from an opening loss with a win over Melbourne.

They won 118-70 over an improved Melbourne, so it was a classy win. It should result in another one-sided win, and with Richmond losing its last 12 day games, there isn’t much to get excited about for the visitors.

We expect money to come for Fremantle, so the line could move to around –50.5 on game day. We recommend including the –46.5 in AFL picks this week before the move comes.

Same Game Multi

Fremantle -46.5, Josh Treacy 3+ Goals, Shai Bolton 2+ Goals, Total Match Points Over 169.5 @ $7.00

Josh Treacy kicked four goals against Melbourne, and he should get every chance to kick more against Richmond. With 13 goals from his last five games, the Fremantle forward is playing well, and punters get $1.77 for a 3+ goal outing.

Shai Bolton started the season with back-to-back two-goal games, and he could add to it. He’s a player who thrives with momentum, and we expect him to inject himself into the attack in the early stages. The $1.77 to kick 2+ goals is a good AFL same game multi bet pick.

We’re not surprised to see the total points line at 169.5 points. Richmond isn’t expected to score big, but the final score should be around 120-59, which is enough to cash the over.

Best Value Bet

Shai Bolton First Goal Scorer @ $11.00

Bolton could get out and running from the opening throw, and he could kick the first goal in the first minute of the contest.

He loves to score on the run, and with his goal scorer form picking up with four goals in two games, he’s playing with confidence.

Treacy is the $7.25 favourite for obvious reasons, but punters get better odds for Bolton to make his mark early in the contest.

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Daryl Curnow

About Daryl Curnow

After graduating from the University of Auckland (BA - English), Daryl was thrown into the world of sports and horse racing journalism.

Having worked as a racing journalist for two years, he decided to move into the online world of horse racing and sports writing. After years of honing his craft, Daryl became a professional punter in 2009 - with a focus on horse racing, NRL, AFL, NBA, Rugby, NFL, and US college sports.

Daryl's tips have been featured on various websites around the world before joining the GoBet team. When he's not working, Daryl tries to avoid making bogeys on the golf course.