Geelong vs. Fremantle Predictions – AFL Round 1 2026

We have Geelong vs. Fremantle predictions for AFL Round 1 on Saturday, March 14 at 4:15pm at GMHBA Stadium.

Last year’s finalists look to recover from an opening week loss, and AFL odds have Geelong favoured to even the ledger against the Dockers.

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Geelong vs. Fremantle Predictions

Best Bet

Geelong –10.5 @ $1.90

We’re hoping the Cats’ opening round performance was due to a Grand Final hangover. They didn’t find much against Gold Coast, and it was a disappointing effort from the get-go.

However, facing Fremantle is a different task, and we have Geelong passing with flying colours. They have the depth needed to make another deep AFL finals run, and punters never know what to make of the Dockers.

The last time they played Geelong, it didn’t end well for Fremantle. It lost 147-69, and that was with Geelong scoring only eight points in the third quarter. We wouldn’t be surprised if something similar happened on Saturday, as Geelong as class on its side.

Take Geelong –10.5, and include them in your AFL picks this weekend.

Same Game Multi

Geelong -10.5, Jeremy Cameron 3+ Goals, Shannon Neale 2+ Goals, Total Match Points Over 180.5 @ $8.00

A big reason why Geelong struggled last week was the efforts of Jeremy Cameron and Shannon Neale. They couldn’t get much quality ball to score from, and they combined for only one goal, with Cameron going scoreless.

Our AFL same game multi picks have Cameron bouncing back with a 3+ goal effort. He’s a dynamic scorer, and his presence in the forward 50 should be enough for the Dockers’ defence to struggle with containment.

Neale had one goal, which made it four consecutive one-goal games. He’s much better than that, and punters get $1.72 for him to score 2+ goals. That’s a fair price with AFL odds, and worth including in picks.

They combined for 216 points in their latest meeting, which is why we’re including over 180.5 points.

Best Value Bet

Geelong Wire-to-Wire @ $2.35

Geelong should want to make an immediate impression after their dour effort last week, and it should translate to a wire-to-wire win.

The Cats are good enough to dominate from the outset, especially against teams like Fremantle, which they have dominated in the past. They have extra incentives to turn their form around and get their 2026 campaign back on track.

Punters get $2.35, which is a generous offering from bookmakers, and worth including in AFL prop picks.

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Daryl Curnow

About Daryl Curnow

After graduating from the University of Auckland (BA - English), Daryl was thrown into the world of sports and horse racing journalism.

Having worked as a racing journalist for two years, he decided to move into the online world of horse racing and sports writing. After years of honing his craft, Daryl became a professional punter in 2009 - with a focus on horse racing, NRL, AFL, NBA, Rugby, NFL, and US college sports.

Daryl's tips have been featured on various websites around the world before joining the GoBet team. When he's not working, Daryl tries to avoid making bogeys on the golf course.