We have Richmond vs. Collingwood predictions for AFL action on Sunday July 27 at 2:10pm at the MCG.
AFL action on Sunday kicks off with the Tigers vs. Magpies, where Collingwood looks to rebound from a poor effort last week.
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Richmond vs. Collingwood Predictions
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Best Bet
We expect a similar scoreline to what Collingwood produced against Richmond earlier this year. The Magpies won 132-49 in a one-sided effort, which makes the –42.5 line look achievable.
Collingwood comes off consecutive losses to Gold Coast and Fremantle, which has put its minor premiership hopes into doubt. However, it still leads the competition, and this is a massive drop in opposition.
Despite Richmond coming off a win over West Coast, Collingwood is a much better team, and it should have no problems dealing to the Tigers with ease. The final score could be around 110-50, which is easily enough to cover the spread.
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Same Game Multi
Punters have made a killing backing Brody Mihocek and Jamie Elliott, so there is no reason to jump on their backs on Sunday.
Mihocek comes off three consecutive games with two goals, so backing him at 2+ goals is the logical play. Punters get $1.65 for that option, which is better than where we priced him, so take the value and include him in SGM picks.
Elliott is a good chance to kick 3+ goals. He has nine goals from his last three games, and punters get $2.03 for him to score a hattrick. Those odds boost AFL multi odds, so we’re happy to include him.
We also like over 156.5 points because Collingwood could score a big total. Richmond only needs to score around 45-50 points for the over to cash.
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Best Value Bet
Nick Daicos has four goals from his last five games, and although he’s not scoring in bunches, he should enjoy playing against Richmond.
The forward 50 will be open throughout the game, and we expect to see Daicos pushing forward and trying to get into the action.
Getting $3.60 in this situation is a good price from bookmakers.