Richmond vs. Geelong Predictions – AFL Round 24 2025

We have Richmond vs. Geelong predictions for AFL action on Saturday August 23 at 4:15pm at the MCG.

Richmond are one of the biggest outsiders of the year at $15, so it should be a comfortable win for the Cats, who look to extend their winning streak.

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Richmond vs. Geelong Predictions

Best Bet

Geelong –59.5 @ $1.90

The –59.5 line isn’t easy to cover, but if there is one team capable of covering big spreads, it’s the Cats.

They won 111-68 last week against Sydney, which continued the winning streak having beaten the likes of Essendon, Port Adelaide, and North Melbourne by big margins. They have enough scoring power to beat any team by a big margin, and Richmond could be in for a long day.

The Tigers have totals of 87, 52, 23, and 57 points in their last four games, which doesn’t bode well for them. They are one of the worst teams in the AFL, and we can’t see them scoring enough points to keep up with Geelong.

Same Game Multi

Geelong –59.5, Tyson Stengle 2+ Goals, Patrick Dangerfield 2+ Goals, Total Match Points Under 176.5 @ $8.50

Punters get better odds than expected for Tyson Stengle and Patrick Dangerfield, who could have big scoring games against Richmond.

Stengle has been solid throughout 2025, and although his recent form hasn’t been amazing, he should fancy his chances on Saturday. The same goes for Dangerfield, who hasn’t been at his scoring best, but he’s likely to get forward and kick 2+ goals.

With Richmond struggling to score points, we’re backing the under in our Richmond vs. Geelong SGM picks. The Tigers could struggle to score over 50 points, so back the under.

Best Value Bet

Tyler Sonsie 20+ Disposals @ $2.59

Tyler Sonsie will be kept busy at the back for Richmond, and punters get good odds for him to record 20+ disposals.

He has had three 20+ games in the last five weeks, so he’s doing what he can to stem the flow of scoring against Richmond. He will get plenty of ball on Saturday, so he should rack up the numbers.

Daryl Curnow

About Daryl Curnow

After graduating from the University of Auckland (BA - English), Daryl was thrown into the world of sports and horse racing journalism. Having worked as a racing journalist for two years, he decided to move into the online world of horse racing and sports writing. After years of honing his craft, Daryl became a professional punter in 2009 - with a focus on horse racing, NRL, AFL, NBA, Rugby, NFL, and US college sports. Daryl's tips have been featured on various websites around the world before joining the GoBet team. When he's not working, Daryl tries to avoid making bogeys on the golf course.

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