Richmond vs. Port Adelaide Predictions – AFL Round 4 2026

We have Richmond vs. Port Adelaide predictions for AFL Round 4 on Saturday, April 4 at 4:15pm at the MCG.

Bookmakers expect a close game between Richmond and Port Adelaide, which could be crucial when it comes to the wooden spoon race.

Richmond vs. Port Adelaide Predictions

Best Bet

Port Adelaide –10.5 @ $1.90

Port Adelaide has a dominant record against Richmond, and we are surprised by the line. We rated the Power at around –17.5, so we’re happy to include them at the lower line.

There is a lot of respect going around for Richmond despite an 0-3 record, which continues their poor form over the last few years. They scored only 43 points against Fremantle last week, so we struggled to find positives for the home team.

With the Power losing only narrowly to West Coast last week, they’re keen for a bounce back performance. West Coast has improved this season, so it’s not a shocking loss, and an easy win over Richmond would be a good remedy.

Same Game Multi

Port Adelaide -10.5, Mitch Georgiades 3+ Goals, Jack Whilock 2+ Goals, Total Match Points Under 179.5 @ $8.75

Mitch Georgiades came up big last week with three goals, and he is our top pick to score 3+ again. He has made a positive start to the year with eight goals in three games, and given the way Richmond plays defence, scoring three shouldn’t be too hard.

Jack Whitlock also had three goals last week, and punters get $2 for him to score 2+ goals. That’s a fair price from bookmakers, and it’s worth including in NBA multi bets.

Under 179.5 points is included because Richmond struggles to score. They have totals of 71, 60, and 43 points in three games, which makes for sorry reading.

Best Value Bet

Port Adelaide 40+ @ $4.00

Their last meeting resulted in a 140-68 win to Port Adelaide, so the $4 odds to win by 40+ are well worth including in AFL picks this week.

There is some concern around the money coming for Richmond to be competitive, but our AFL pick is based on historical data, and it heavily favours the Power to score a one-sided win.

Snap up the odds before late money comes for Port Adelaide.

Daryl Curnow

About Daryl Curnow

After graduating from the University of Auckland (BA - English), Daryl was thrown into the world of sports and horse racing journalism.

Having worked as a racing journalist for two years, he decided to move into the online world of horse racing and sports writing. After years of honing his craft, Daryl became a professional punter in 2009 - with a focus on horse racing, NRL, AFL, NBA, Rugby, NFL, and US college sports.

Daryl's tips have been featured on various websites around the world before joining the GoBet team. When he's not working, Daryl tries to avoid making bogeys on the golf course.

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