St Kilda vs. Brisbane Predictions – AFL Round 3 2026

We have St Kilda vs. Brisbane predictions for AFL Round 3 on Saturday, March 28 at 12:35pm at Marvel Stadium.

Most of the early betting moves are for Brisbane to cover the spread, and it could be smart money.

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St Kilda vs. Brisbane Predictions

Best Bet

Brisbane –13.5 @ $1.90

It hasn’t been the start the defending champions were after, but despite being 0-2, the Lions are ready to roar against St Kilda.

They lost to the Western Bulldogs in the opening round 111-106 before losing heavily to Sydney, but this game is more up their alley. They face a St Kilda team coming off a win over GWS, but if Brisbane turns up with something close to their best, they should put the Saints away.

It can often take a couple of games to shake off the Grand Final rust, and Brisbane has had a tough schedule. They should fancy themselves of beating St Kilda, despite playing on the road, and the –13.5 line might only last another 24 hours.

Include Brisbane –13.5 in AFL predictions this week.

Same Game Multi

Brisbane -13.5, Logan Morris 2+ Goals, Kai Lohmann 2+ Goals, Total Match Points Over 185.5 @ $8.50

The Lions should do most of the scoring, and they’re spearheaded by Logan Morris and Kai Lohmann.

Morris kicked three goals against the Swans, and although it came in a losing effort, kicking three against a strong team bodes well for his chance against St Kilda. The $1.61 odds are worth including in St Kilda vs. Brisbane same game multi picks.

Punters get better odds for Lohmann, who has nine goals from his last five games. He kicked only one in his most recent game, but he started the season with two goals against the Bulldogs. The $1.97 odds give the multi bet a nice boost.

Brisbane could score 110+ points, which should be enough to cash the over. We’re happy to include over 185.5 in our AFL picks.

Best Value Bet

Brisbane 40+ @ $3.70

We aren’t writing off St Kilda, especially after we backed them to beat GWS last week. However, if the 2025 edition of Brisbane turns up, St Kilda could be in for a long afternoon.

The Lions won 118-73 in their last meeting, which followed a 124-39 victory in 2024. It has been a one-sided rivalry, and it could continue with another comfortable win for Brisbane, so the $3.70 odds for a 40+ point win are too good to pass up.

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Daryl Curnow

About Daryl Curnow

After graduating from the University of Auckland (BA - English), Daryl was thrown into the world of sports and horse racing journalism.

Having worked as a racing journalist for two years, he decided to move into the online world of horse racing and sports writing. After years of honing his craft, Daryl became a professional punter in 2009 - with a focus on horse racing, NRL, AFL, NBA, Rugby, NFL, and US college sports.

Daryl's tips have been featured on various websites around the world before joining the GoBet team. When he's not working, Daryl tries to avoid making bogeys on the golf course.