Sydney vs. Brisbane Predictions – AFL Round 1 2026

We have Sydney vs. Brisbane predictions for AFL Round 1 on Saturday, March 14 at 7:10pm at the SCG.

The game of the week plays on Saturday night, as last year’s premiers play against what many believe are title contenders in 2026. It’s the Swans vs. Lions, and it should be a cracking contest in Sydney.

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Sydney vs. Brisbane Predictions

Best Bet

Brisbane +14.5 @ $1.90

We were impressed by Sydney’s win over Carlton last week, but Brisbane is the best team in the AFL at bouncing back from a loss, so our AFL tips include Brisbane +14.5.

They were right in the contest against the Western Bulldogs when losing 111-106, and we’re happy to forgive the loss. It’s never easy to win the first game of the season following a premiership year, so punters shouldn’t hold that loss over their heads.

Bouncing back to beat Sydney won’t be easy, but their last two meetings were decided by less than five points, so we expected a close contest. We priced the Lions at +8.5, so getting a +14.5 start is more than enough to back the visitors with confidence.

Same Game Multi

Brisbane +14.5, Logan Morris 2+ Goals, Charlie Curnow 3+ Goals, Total Match Points Under 186.5 @ $14.00

Logan Morris looked good for Brisbane with a three-goal effort last week. He was the standout goal scorer for the defending champions, and the $1.58 for him to score 2+ goals is a good AFL multi bet inclusion.

Charlie Curnow had a dream start for his new team. He kicked three goals for Sydney, and the rangy forward should fancy his chances of repeating that effort. He’s a $1.88 pick to kick 3+ goals on Saturday night.

Their last two games went under 186.5 points, and it could be another tight defensive battle in the midfield. Include the under in Sydney vs. Brisbane same game multi picks.

Best Value Bet

Brisbane Halftime/Fulltime @ $3.30

Our AFL picks are confident of Brisbane playing a lot better than last week, and it could be enough to secure the win in Sydney.

The Swans might be due for a letdown spot after a high energy win over Carlton, and they haven’t been the most consistent team over the last few years.

Sleeping on the Lions is never wise, so take the $3.30 for a halftime/fulltime win.

🤑 For betting on our expert 🏉 AFL tips, we recommend checking out our 🏅top-rated Australian betting sites and 📱top betting apps!

Daryl Curnow

About Daryl Curnow

After graduating from the University of Auckland (BA - English), Daryl was thrown into the world of sports and horse racing journalism.

Having worked as a racing journalist for two years, he decided to move into the online world of horse racing and sports writing. After years of honing his craft, Daryl became a professional punter in 2009 - with a focus on horse racing, NRL, AFL, NBA, Rugby, NFL, and US college sports.

Daryl's tips have been featured on various websites around the world before joining the GoBet team. When he's not working, Daryl tries to avoid making bogeys on the golf course.