We have expert betting tips for the Valero Texas Open this week, which features an even field of PGA Tour superstars.
It’s the week before The Masters, so players look to find their best form ahead of the first major tournament.
Our golf bets this week include our best bet and best value bets for The Valero Texas Open, where Ludvig Aberg is our top pick.
Valero Texas Open Tips & Predictions
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Best Bet
Ludvig Aberg might have thrown The Players Championship away, but the Swede loves winning tournaments around this time of the year.
He is a superstar of the game, and although bouncing back from choking at Sawgrass, he’s mentally tough, and this is an easier field. He could get off to a fast start and put those bad memories behind him at the Valero Texas Open.
Money has come for Aberg to win at $15, and we’re happy to bet on him this week. He always plays well at The Masters, and he should find his best form a week early.
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Next Best
Jordan Spieth is another player we like this week and next week. The American loves playing at Augusta, and a win at the Valero Texas Open would get his confidence levels to where they need to be.
Spieth isn’t playing at the same level he was earlier in his career, but with the PGA Tour not being as strong with the dilution of some of its best players to LIV, it gives players like Spieth a chance to find winning form.
He enjoys playing in Texas, where conditions suit his game, and the $18 odds for him to win are worth including in golf picks this week.
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Best Value Bet
Maverick McNealy is another player who enjoys playing in Texas, and the one-time PGA Tour winner hasn’t been far off posting another win.
The Stanford graduate won the 2024 RSM Classic when beating a quality field, and he has been close to winning since. His best form comes early in the year, and he made the cut in all four major tournaments in 2025.
There has been respect in golf betting markets for McNealy, who tends to start well and be near the top of the leaderboard throughout the week. We’re happy with the $26 odds for a promising golfer with loads of talent.
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Best Roughie
Brian Harman is way over the odds, so punters should take the value odds. The major winner hasn’t been too far away this year, and his experience is enough to take him close.
He does play better in tough conditions, which is why he won the 2023 Open Championship, but if the greens are playing tricky, he could capitalise and score an upset win.
With major season just around the corner, Harman will want to fine-tune his game, and we priced him at $34 to win. Getting $56 is a gift from bookmakers, so include Harman in PGA Tour picks this week.
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Top 10
Alex Noren quietly goes about his business, and he’s one of the better-ranked players in the field.
The 43-year-old finished T32 at The Players, which is a much harder tournament than the Valero Texas Open, and we’re banking on him improving that position.
The 12-time European Tour winner has yet to win on the PGA Tour, but it’s only a matter of time, so $4.50 for a top 10 finish is good shopping.
