Karaka Millions 3YO 2026 Betting Tips

We have expert horse racing tips for the Karaka Million 3YO at Ellerslie in New Zealand on Saturday, which features some of the best age-group runners in NZ.

It takes place at Race 5 at 4:53pm, and we have a runner-by-runner betting guide available for the big race.

The race features the likes of Well Written, La Dorada, and Affirmative Action, and the best Australian betting sites have value odds available!

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Our best bets for the Karaka Million 3YO

Best Bet

#8 Well Written @ $1.50

Best Each Way

#9 La Dorada @ $5.00

Best Roughie

#2 Affirmative Action @ $13.00

Karaka Million 3YO Tips for Trifecta

Punters should have four runners on their ticket for the Karaka Million 3YO trifecta. We recommend taking a boxed percentage trifecta. Spend what you want, and the payouts can be massive.

  • Well Written
  • La Dorada
  • Affirmative Action
  • He Who Dares
picklebet 4 places

Karaka Million 3YO First-Four Tips

We have included five runners for our Karaka Million 3YO first-four. Boxing all five selections for a percentage can still result in a huge payout, and you spend what you want.

  • Well Written
  • La Dorada
  • Affirmative Action
  • He Who Dares
  • Lollapalooza
picklebet 4 places

Karaka Million 3YO Form Guide & Tips

(1) Romanoff ($27.00)

He won the Guineas two starts back, but he wasn’t able to follow it up with much at Trentham last time out.

That’s a concern, and it’s reflected in betting markets.

(2) Affirmative Action (Best Roughie – $13.00)

Second behind Romanoff in the Guineas, but he followed that run up with a placing at Ellerslie, and he’s a two-time winner here.

He loves running at headquarters, and we expect him to be fighting out the finish at generous odds.

(3) He Who Dares ($15.00)

Secone behind Well Written last start when paying big odds. Nothing wrong with that form guide, and it hasn’t been missed in the betting.

Drawn well with Opie Bosson riding, so he has enough upside to be included in picks.

(4) Argo ($31.00)

Solid efforts to score back-to-back wins earlier this prep. A good placing last start, but he has been facing easier fields.

We expect him to struggle at this level, which is akin to Group 1 racing.

(5) Sweet Ice ($71.00)

The gelding is nearing a win, but it’s likely to come in something much easier.

(6) Now Not Never ($71.00)

He broke maidens with a win at Taupo, but we can’t see that form standing up at Ellerslie, hence the big odds.

(7) Fat Cat ($101.00)

Big odds and rightfully so. He hasn’t done much since winning fresh up.

(8) Well Written (Best Bet – $1.50)

One of New Zealand’s best. The Guineas winner has been putting away fields with relative ease, and she has Australian autumn targets in sight.

She’s a star, and we’re not shocked by the odds-on quote.

(9) La Dorada (Best Each Way – $5.00)

The Te Akau-raced filly got back to her best form with a win at Trentham, and that could spark her back into life.

She went off the boil a touch, but she’s a big race winner, and she’s yet to finish worse than second at Ellerslie.

(10) Lollapalooza ($15.00)

She promised plenty, but despite running good races this season, she hasn’t quite lived up to the early hype.

Given her consistency, she’s good enough to be included in first four picks.

(11) War Princess ($41.00)

Her best racing comes in the Central Districts, and she didn’t fire last time out. Tough to recommend on that effort.

(12) Miss Ziggy ($51.00)

We don’t see southern form holding up well at Ellerslie. It rarely does, so the odds are warranted.

(13) Chilling Out ($27.00)

Shooting for three consecutive wins, but it wasn’t a tough field last start when beating Miss Ziggy.

(14) Fleeting Star ($41.00)

Consistent enough form, but improvement is needed to handle this field.

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Categories: Free Saturday Racing Tips & Best Bets, Horse Racing Tips

Race Tracks: Group 1, New Zealand

Daryl Curnow

About Daryl Curnow

After graduating from the University of Auckland (BA - English), Daryl was thrown into the world of sports and horse racing journalism.

Having worked as a racing journalist for two years, he decided to move into the online world of horse racing and sports writing. After years of honing his craft, Daryl became a professional punter in 2009 - with a focus on horse racing, NRL, AFL, NBA, Rugby, NFL, and US college sports.

Daryl's tips have been featured on various websites around the world before joining the GoBet team. When he's not working, Daryl tries to avoid making bogeys on the golf course.