UFC Fight Night 250 takes place on Sunday (AEDT) at the anb Arena in Riyadh, Saudi Arabia and we’ve got our UFC predictions for all the fights below and you can place your bets with the best betting sites Australia has to offer!
UFC Fight Night 250 Predictions
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Israel Adesanya vs. Nassourdine Imavov Prediction
Former middleweight champion Israel Adesanya lost the title in a shock upset in 2023 and then suffered a submission loss to current champion Dricus du Plessis last year. Now he’ll be fighting in a non-title fight for the first time in 6 years when he goes up against the No.5 ranked Nassourdine Imavov, who won three fights in a row last year.
Despite his recent losses the 35-year-old Adesanya still remains an elite-level striker, but his own motivation at this stage of his career may be starting to come into question, while his self-belief and the invincible aura that surrounded him at the peak of his title reign have certainly taken a hit too. Still, he remains a very slick, sharp and cerebral kickboxer on the feet with swift, accurate strikes, very good distance management and an ability to read his opponents, set traps and land on the counter. His nemesis Alex Pereira managed to hurt and finish him more than once though, while du Plessis became the first fighter to submit him last time out, serving up a reminder that his ground game still lags a long way behind his striking.
While he’s lived in France for the past two decades, the 29-year-old Imavov is actually originally from Dagestan. He’s a physically strong, well-rounded and sturdy fighter who has put together a 7-2 (+1nc) record in the Octagon so far, beating the likes of Brendan Allen, Jared Cannonier, Roman Dolidze and Joaquin Buckley along the way. Imavov likes to fight from range, keeping opponents on the end of his versatile kicks and punches, but he will shorten up his selection with elbows and knees coming into play at closer quarters. He has good power, but isn’t generally a lights-out finisher, with the jab often being a weapon of choice for him. Imavov is also a fairly solid wrestler too and will look for ground-and-pound, but while he used to also find submission finishes earlier in his career, he’s not managed to do so in the UFC.
Imavov is the better all-rounder here and that makes things interesting if he focuses on to taking Adesanya out of his comfort zone by going for takedowns. That being said, while he can also be fairly competitive on the feet I do believe Adesanya’s speed, agility, flair and fight IQ still gives him the advantage there, and if he can manage the distance game effectively then he should be able to limit Imavov’s takedown opportunities and emerge with a decision victory.
Prediction: Israel Adesanya to win by decision.
Shara Magomedov vs. Michael ‘Venom’ Page Prediction
The undefeated Shara Magomedov has gone 4-0 in the UFC so far and now faces former Bellator star Michael ‘Venom’ Page, who is 1-1 in the promotion since joining last year.
The 30-year-old Magomedov hails from Dagestan, but in many respects doesn’t fit the profile of a fighter you’d typically expect out of that region as his style is heavily focused on creative and dynamic striking. Magomedov gave a perfect example of that last time out when out-of-the-blue he suddenly KO’d Armen Petrosyan with the first ever double spinning-backfists in UFC history. Magomedov has a high output and is constantly switching up his accurate attacks using all eight limbs, which makes him very unpredictable and hard to keep up with. He isn’t as sharp defensively, but he has shown good durability so far. His ground game is also questionable, but that shouldn’t be an issue in this match-up.
Like Magomedov, ‘Venom’ Page is also a unique striking talent with a vast array of striking weaponry and plenty of creative flair. He is a tall, rangey and athletic fighter who will only have an inch in height over his opponent, but will also have a significant 6″ reach advantage. Page will make the most of that as he does a very good job of maintaining distance and has excellent speed and timing, which enables him to suddenly dart into range to land accurate offense and then get back out again unscathed. Page is a smart fighter and can be clever on the counter-attacks, but as such he tends to have a lower volume approach, waiting patiently for his moments to strike. Despite all his experience he can be vulnerable to low kicks and he doesn’t have much of a ground game.
This should be a very intriguing striking battle, with Magomedov being the much more active and aggressive of the two, while Page will look to be more of a calculated sniper on the outside. And both methods have a real chance to find success here, but even if he’s not able to land with the same frequency he’s used to against an elusive target I’ll take the younger man’s higher output and aggression to win over the judges when the fight goes to the scorecards.
Prediction: Shara Magomedov to win by decision.
Sergei Pavlovich vs. Jairzinho Rozenstruik Prediction
Sergei Pavlovich’s heavyweight title ambitions were upended by back-to-back defeats against Tom Aspinall and Alexander Volkov, but he’s still ranked No.4 heading into his next fight against the No.9 placed Jairzinho Rozenstruik, who picked up two wins in 2024.
It’s only been a couple of years since the 32-year-old Pavlovich was absolutely terrorizing the heavyweight division with a rampaging six-fight winning streak that saw him T(KO) all of his opponents inside the opening round, including the likes of Derrick Lewis, Tai Tuivasa and Curtis Blaydes. Pavlovich is a powerful striker with an unusually lengthy 84″ reach, giving him a 6″ advantage over Pavlovich. He’s a fast starter and likes to press foward and use his boxing to unleash heavy-handed flurries of strikes. And more often than not when fists start flying it’s he who’s left standing, but in addition to Aspinall KO’ing him in 69 seconds back in 2023, he was also TKO’d in the opening round by Alistair Overeem right at the start of his UFC run in 2018. Pavlovich can also wrestle if required, but it’s not something he readily utilizes.
The 36-year-old Rozenstruik had a lengthy pro-kickboxing career before turning his focus purely to MMA in 2017. It wasn’t long before he then signed for the UFC and he showed impressive knockout power in his first few fights, racking up four wins in a row via strikes, including one after just 9 seconds. However, Rozenstruik was then KO’d by Francis Ngannou and from then on he started to employ a more cautious, low-output approach that relies more on waiting for moments to land a big counter-strike. And he’s experienced very mixed results with that, going just 5-4, though his knockout power remains as potent as ever when he does pull the trigger. Rozenstruik has no ground-game to speak of though, so there’s no plan-B if things are going badly on the feet.
Given Pavlovich’s fire-power and emphasis on aggressively pressuring from the opening bell I could see him forcing Rozenstruik into a defensive shell, even though he too has the ability to end the fight in the blink of an eye. Pavlovich’s commitment to offense could lead to him eating a fight-ending counter-strike though, and if the fight goes long then Rozenstruik’s more conservative approach will likely leave him with more energy in the final stages. Even so, I’ll take Rozenstruik’s overly-hesitant offense combined with Pavlovich’s high-volume combinations resulting in a 1st round TKO victory for the Russian.
Prediction: Sergei Pavlovich to win by TKO in Rd1.
Said Nurmagomedov vs. Vinicius Oliveira Prediction
It’s been well over a year since we last saw Said Nurmagomedov in the Octagon, earning a submission win over Muin Gafurov to go 7-2 in the UFC. Now he returns to fight Vinicius Oliveira, who went 2-0 last year after joining from the Contender Series.
The 32-year-old Said may carry a famous surname, but he’s not actually related to the likes of Islam, Khabib or Umar Nurmagomedov, though he does also hail from Dagestan. And while he’s a capable wrestler, that isn’t Said’s calling card as he’s predominantly a striker with a very kick-orientated style from range, attacking to all levels with an agile and versatile assortment of techniques that are despatched with good accuracy and speed. He’s not proven to be much of a finisher on the feet though, but he can also mix things up on the mat when required and does have a respectable submission game that’s accounted for three of his UFC wins to date.
The 29-year-old Oliveira is a dangerous, dynamic and athletic striker who has amassed 16 victories via strikes from his 21 career wins so far, including a stunning flying knee KO finish in his UFC debut last year. As such he’ll clearly be the harder-hitter in this fight, and is more active and aggressive with his offense. He’s not as effective on the mat though, but does have a couple of submission wins on his record.
This is an interesting match-up on the feet, and while Said’s kicks do a good job of helping him keep the fight at range and disrupt his opponents flow, I could still see Oliveira posing him problems with his more potent striking. As such I think Nurmagomedov may well look to his advantage on the mat here, so while I have some concerns about the reliability of his takedowns, I think that once on the mat he will be able to gain more control over the fight and work his way to a submission finish.
Prediction: Said Nurmagomedov to win by submission in Rd2.
Fares Ziam vs. Mike Davis Prediction
Fares Ziam has been steadily building up a head of steam during his four-fight winning streak over the past two-and-a-half years and now squares up to Mike Davis, who is also on a four-fight unbeaten stretch, although lengthy layoffs in-between bouts means his run actually stretches over five-and-a-half years.
The 27-year-old Ziam is a tall, lanky fighter by lightweight standards, although on this occasion his opponent is actually the same height, but will give up 2.5″ in reach. Ziam is a patient kickboxer who generally likes to operate on the outside and fights at a measured pace, looking for opportunities to land effectively with clean, accurate straight punches and snappy kicks. That helps him stay relatively sound defensively, while at closer quarters he’s comfortable in the clinch, and last time out he registered his first KO win in the Octagon by landing a knee from there against Matt Frevola. Meanwhile, Ziam is decent enough with his takedown defense and mat work, and appears to be improving in that regard, but he has been submitted three times in his career, including once in the UFC.
The 32-year-old Davis UFC run has unfortunately been stop-start in nature due to injury issues that have prevented him from building real momentum. He is primarily a striker who is quite big for the division, has good boxing ability and solid power, with 7 of his 11 wins coming via strikes. Davis can also wrestle at times too though and earned one of only two submission victories in his last Octagon appearance.
Davis will likely offer more of a finishing threat here, but Ziam appears to be evolving as a fighter during his time in the UFC and I think he will prove to be sharper and more technical with his work from range, while also being more defensively sound, to win out on the scorecards.
Prediction: Fares Ziam to win by decision.
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UFC Fight Night 250 Prelims
(Predicted winners in bold)
Muhammad Naimov vs. Kaan Ofli
Shamil Gaziev vs. Thomas Petersen
Abdul-Kareem Al-Selwady vs. Bolaji Oki
Terrance McKinney vs. Damir Hadžović
Jasmine Jasudavicius vs. Mayra Bueno Silva
Bogdan Grad vs. Lucas Alexander
Hamdy Abdelwahab vs. Jamal Pogues
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