UFC Fight Night: Evloev vs. Murphy Predictions

UFC Fight Night 270 takes place on Sunday (AEDT) at the 02 Arena in London, England. – and we’ve got our UFC predictions for all the fights below, and you can place your bets with the best betting sites Australia has to offer!

UFC Fight Night 270 Predictions

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Movsar Evloev vs. Lerone Murphy Prediction

The main event features a showdown between undefeated featherweight title hopefuls, as the No.1 ranked Movsar Evloev brings a 19-0 career record to the Octagon against the No.3 placed Lerone Murphy, who has gone 17-0-1.

Evloev would have every right to feel aggrieved that he’s not earned a title shot yet given that he’s gone on a nine-fight unbeaten run in the UFC, including beating Diego Lopes, who has since been granted two attempts to win the belt The problem for the 32-year-old Evloev is that while his fighting style has proven to be very effective in winning fights, it hasn’t come with the kind of crowd-pleasing moments or highlight-reel finishes that the UFC brass tends to value above all else. In fact he’s yet to find a finish in the Octagon, but he’s a well-rounded and well-conditioned fighter who looks to make up for his lack of stopping power in the striking department by staying active with efficient and versatile offense. Evloev has good takedown ability and his strong grappling control on top is a big plus point, though again he lacks a cutting edge in terms of submission finishes and ground-and-pound.

The 34-year-old Murphy has also been forced to wait impatiently for his title opportunity, despite having also amassed nine wins in a row in the Octagon since getting a draw in his UFC debut back in 2019. Murphy is an athletic striker with very well-versed boxing ability who combines speed with accuracy and can add in kicks and knees too, while he’s also willing to look for takedowns. The fact that Murphy tends to adopt a patient, strategic approach that’s led to more decision wins than finishes has likely counted against him in the title reckoning, but a big spinning elbow KO stoppage of Aaron Pico last time out did help raise his profile.

I feel Murphy is the better striker of the two here with his speed and extra power, but Evloev can still be competitive on the feet, while also having a significant advantage in terms of his assured ground game. It won’t be easy for him though and so I suspect he’ll play it safe and lean into his grinding instincts to control Murphy on the mat for extended periods in order to emerge with a decision victory.

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Luke Riley vs. Michael Aswell Prediction

Luke Riley won his UFC debut by KO to go 12-0 in his career to date and now lands a co-main event spot opposite Michael Aswell, who has gone 1-1 in the Octagon.

Like his sparring partner Paddy Pimblett, Riley was a larger-than-life star in the UK’s Cage Warriors promotion for a long time before joining the UFC last year, and racked up eight finishes via strikes in his 11 fights there. The UFC clearly already see a lot of upside in the 26-year-old given his high profile placing on this card at this early stage. Riley is a talented kickboxer with a good blend of technique and power whose aggressive instincts see him take the fight directly to his opponents. Riley’s ground game is less assured though, and in his UFC debut he struggled against Bogdan Grad on the mat in the opening round, before quickly rallying with a KO finish early in the 2nd.

The 25-year-old Aswell is a former Fury FC champion who coincidentally also fought Bogdan Grad in a Contender Series bout back in 2024, but lost by split-decision. However, Aswell performed well enough that he was handed his UFC debut nearly a year later on just three days notice. He lost that fight, but has rebounded strongly with a 1st round TKO of Lucas Almeida back in October of last year. Aswell has a solid striking game along with capable clinch-work and wrestling that’s helped him go 11-3 in his career so far, and he’s yet to be finished.

Riley is the significantly better striker here and I think that’ll result in him handing Aswell the first TKO loss of his career by the second round.

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Michael Page vs. Sam Patterson Prediction

After back-to-back wins at middleweight, Michael ‘Venom’ Page drops back down to welterweight on Saturday to fight Sam Patterson, who is on a four-fight winning streak in the Octagon.

The tall, long-limbed and very athletic Page is one of the most uniquely talented and creative strikers on the UFC’s roster. He likes to fight on the outside, lulling his opponents into a false sense of security by staying patient with his hands down by his sides, only to then burst into explosive, dynamic and unpredictable offense with impressive timing and accuracy. At 38-years-old Page is aging gracefully and is still fast and agile for his size, but his style does tend to leave lulls in-between his attacks, leading to a fairly low output overall. He generally steers clear of going to the mat too, but he’s not a fish out of water if he has to compete there.

The 29-year-old Patterson emerged from the Contender Series in 2022 but was KO’d in just 75 seconds in his promotional debut. However, Patterson has since been in impressive form, winning four fights in a row inside the first round, including two by submission and one each by KO and TKO. Like Page, Patterson is a big welterweight, but he’s not as fast or agile as the veteran. He does have good power though and is more of a threat on the mat with his grappling.

I don’t see Patterson having either the speed or the finesse to match Page on the feet, and I think he’ll find ‘Venom’ to be too elusive of a target to get him to the mat either, so I’ll take Page to win the striking exchanges over three rounds to earn a decision victory.

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Iwo Baraniewski vs. Austen Lane Prediction

Iwo Baraniewski won his UFC debut by KO in just 89 seconds back in December and now fights Austen Lane, who has lost four of his last five fights up at heavyweight and is now dropping down to 205lbs.

The 27-year-old Baraniewski is undefeated in his 7-fight career to date, albeit against a relatively low level of competition.  He’s well rounded as he comes from a judo background and has some grappling experience too, but Baraniewski actually prefers to start fast with his powerful striking.  That’s worked out well for him as he’s stopped all his opponents within the first round, including five via strikes.  The only downside to that is that we’ve no real idea how his cardio will hold up in a longer fight.

Lane really struggled to make an impact in the UFC’s heavyweight division, picking up just one win in six attempts. A former NFL player, Lane is big and athletic at 6ft 6″ tall with an 80″ reach, which will give him a size advantage down at 205lbs. He”s 11 years older than Baraniewski at 38 though, and technically is still quite raw. he does have good power though, with 11 of his 13 wins coming via strikes, with the vast majority coming in the opening round. Lane’s durability is a real concern however as six of his losses have been via strikes, including three via knockout during his UFC run.

Aside from his size and athleticism it doesn’t really feel like Lane has a lot to offer at light-heavyweight.  As such I’d expect Baraniewski to have the advantage wherever the fight goes and emerge with a TKO win in the first five minutes.

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Roman Dolidze vs. Christian Leroy Duncan Prediction

Roman Dolidze suffered a loss last time out, ending a run of three wins in a row. Now he goes up against Christian Leroy Duncan, who went on a three-fight winning streak last year.

The 37-year-old Dolidze doesn’t have the flashiest set of skills and has come up short a few times against top contenders.  Nevertheless, he’s been a steady, dependable fighter in the 185lb rankings for quite some time now, picking up wins over the likes of Marvin Vettori, Anthony Smith, Kevin Holland and Jack Hermansson along the way. Dolidze is a big, muscular and durable middleweight who sticks largely to striking fundamentals with good power in his punches and heavy low kicks. He also has solid wrestling, and despite having been submitted last time out by the crafty ‘Fluffy’ Hernandez, he’s generally proven to be more capable than you might expect in the grappling department.

Duncan had quite a year in 2025, putting together two highlight-reel KO’s in a row by finishing Eryk Anders with a spinning back elbow and then Marco Tulio with a spinning backfist. As you might expect then, the 30-year-old Duncan is a dynamic, creative striker who has a knack for throwing eye-catching techniques with impressive accuracy. Elbow strikes in particular are a tried and tested weapon for him that accounts for two other of his UFC finishes, as well as in a Cage Warriors title defense prior to joining the promotion. His 10 career finishes in total also include spinning hook kick and flying knee stoppages too. However, Duncan’s offensive flair can be dampened by fighters who are able to pressure him, and his offensive focus does leave him open defensively at times. Still, he’s only lost twice in 15 pro-fights and has never been finished.

Dolidze could have his moments here with his sturdy, middle-of-the-road striking style, but I feel Duncan’s slicker, unpredictable, yet still effective offense will win out here.  Due to Dolidze’s toughness he might have to settle for a win on the scorecards in the end though.

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Kurtis Campbell vs. Danny Silva Prediction

Contender Series recruit Kurtis Campbell arrives in the UFC with an 8-0 record and will make his debut against Danny Silva, who has gone 2-1 in the Octagon.

On the feet the 23-year-old Campbell loves to throw a versatile array of kicks to all levels and has finished fights with kicks to the legs and body on the regional circuit, while he will look for short flurries of punches too. He’s quite open defensively though and relies a lot on his reactions to steer clear of shots, which is risky. Campbell is also a willing wrestler and grappler too who will seek out ground-and-pound and can work for submissions too, but it remains to be seen how that translates at the UFC level.

There was no shame in the 29-year-old Silva losing on the scorecards to the talented Kevin Vallejos last time out and he had managed to edge his way to split-decision wins over Lucas Almeida and Joshua Culibao before that. Silva is a pressure-striker with respectable boxing technique who relies more on his volume and good conditioning than raw power to gain the upper-hand, while he can mix in some capable wrestling work too.

Campbell’s level of opposition has been quite low so far, so we’ll learn a lot about him from this fight. I think Silva’s pressure and more straight-forward boxing style has the potential to stifle the space Campbell prefers on the feet, and he’ll also be experienced enough to cope with his ground threat too to emerge with a decision victory over the newcomer.

UFC Fight Night 270 Prelims

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(Predicted winners in bold)

Mason Jones vs. Axel Sola
Nathaniel Wood vs. Losene Keita
Mário Pinto vs. Felipe Franco
Mantas Kondratavičius vs. Antonio Trócoli
Louie Sutherland vs. Brando Peričić
Shaqueme Rock vs. Abdul-Kareem Al-Selwady
Shanelle Dyer vs. Ravena Oliveira
Melissa Mullins vs. Luana Carolina