Tonga vs. Lebanon Predictions

Starts in 21h 18m

Match Details

Date: Friday, 23 October 2026
Start Time: 8:05 PM (AEST)
Stadium: CommBank Stadium, Sydney

Round 2 of the Rugby League World Cup kicks off with Tonga vs. Lebanon, and a one-sided game is expected. Tonga were strong winners in Round 1, and with Lebanon getting well-beaten by Papua New Guinea, it’s not about to get any easier for them.

Best Bet

Tonga -47.5 @ $1.90

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It’s not easy to cover a -47.5 spread, but we saw Samoa pump France last week, and it could be a similar score line between Tonga and Lebanon.

There were things for Tonga to work on last week, but their win over England was a professional outing, and England are no slouches. Tonga played with good discipline, and that’s going to win them a few matches during the Rugby League World Cup.

It was a much different outcome for Lebanon, who we fancied to play well against PNG. It was a close game for a little bit, but PNG pulled away late, and it was an error-ridden game for Lebanon. They made countless mistakes, which often led to tries for PNG.

If they’re not more clinical this week, Tonga will run up a big score, and that’s what we’re predicting. Include Tonga -47.5 in RLWC picks this week.

Same Game Multi

Tonga -47.5, Paul Alamoti Anytime Try Scorer, Haumole Olakau'atu Anytime Try Scorer, Total Points Over 58.5 @ $5.10

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Our Rugby League World Cup SGM picks include Paul Alamoti to score a try. He didn’t score last week, but he should get plenty of opportunities to score against a struggling Lebanon defence. The $1.60 odds are worth including to boost payouts.

Haumole Olakau’atu was a beast last week when scoring two tries. He’s tough to stop when he’s in a try-scoring mood, and he’s on the same line as Alamoti at $1.60, which is a good price.

It should be a high-scoring game with plenty of tries, mostly from Tonga, and we’re including over 58.5 points.

Best Value Bet

Leka Halasima First Try Scorer @ $8.50

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Leka “The Wrecker” Halasima could make an immediate impact for Tonga in this game, and he’s a big try-scoring threat.

The New Zealand Warriors player is one of the most-loved players in the team, and when he gets a good ball to work with, he can bust through the line to score.

His energy levels are high, and $8.50 to score the opening try are odds worth taking.

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Editor-In-Chief

Daryl Curnow

After graduating from the University of Auckland (BA - English), Daryl Curnow was thrown into the world of sports and horse racing journalism.

Having worked as a racing journalist for two years, he decided to move into the online world of horse racing and sports writing. After years of honing his craft, Daryl became a professional punter in 2009 - with a focus on horse racing, NRL, AFL, NBA, Rugby, NFL, and US college sports.

Daryl's tips have been featured on various websites around the world before joining the GoBet team. When he's not working, Daryl tries to avoid making bogeys on the golf course.