We have Collingwood vs. Melbourne predictions for AFL action on Friday August 22 at 7:10pm at the MCG.
A big crowd is expected to watch the Magpies grip on to a top four spot, and they’ll need to play well to hold off Melbourne.
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Collingwood vs. Melbourne Predictions
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Best Bet
Entering the finals with three consecutive losses isn’t ideal for Collingwood, so a win over Melbourne is needed to regain momentum.
The Magpies lost to Brisbane, Hawthorn, and Adelaide, so they took on some of the toughest teams in the competition, and facing Melbourne will be a much easier task. Melbourne comes off consecutive losses, and it’s tough to know what it’s going to produce.
Collingwood scored only 56 points against Adelaide, but the positive was allowing only 59 points. A similar defensive performance should be enough to put up a big total on Melbourne, who could already have their holiday plans booked.
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Same Game Multi
It’s not always a high-scoring game when Collingwood and Melbourne meet, but our final score prediction is 100-71, so we’re including the over in our AFL SGM picks.
Many of those points could come from Tim Membrey and Bayley Fritsch. Membrey scored two goals last week, which was his third 2+ goal game from his last five appearances. That form is good enough to include him in picks.
Fritsch didn’t score for Melbourne last week, but he kicked 11 goals from his previous four games. We expect him to get back to that form, and although kicking goals against Collingwood’s defence isn’t easy, he should stand up and attempt to end the year on a high for Melbourne.
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Best Value Bet
Collingwood should dominate the game from the outset, and the bigger the occasion, the better Collingwood typically plays.
The Magpies have enough firepower to put up a big first quarter lead, and the $1.96 odds will look generous if that happens. We expect them to lead after every quarter, so for a team paying $1.33 to win, getting $1.96 for a wire-to-wire win is a good price.