Collingwood vs. Melbourne Predictions – AFL Round 24 2025

We have Collingwood vs. Melbourne predictions for AFL action on Friday August 22 at 7:10pm at the MCG.

A big crowd is expected to watch the Magpies grip on to a top four spot, and they’ll need to play well to hold off Melbourne.

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Collingwood vs. Melbourne Predictions

Best Bet

Collingwood –19.5 @ $1.90

Entering the finals with three consecutive losses isn’t ideal for Collingwood, so a win over Melbourne is needed to regain momentum.

The Magpies lost to Brisbane, Hawthorn, and Adelaide, so they took on some of the toughest teams in the competition, and facing Melbourne will be a much easier task. Melbourne comes off consecutive losses, and it’s tough to know what it’s going to produce.

Collingwood scored only 56 points against Adelaide, but the positive was allowing only 59 points. A similar defensive performance should be enough to put up a big total on Melbourne, who could already have their holiday plans booked.

Same Game Multi

Collingwood –19.5, Tim Membrey 2+ Goals, Bayley Fritsch 2+ Goals, Total Match Points Over 164.5 @ $10.50

It’s not always a high-scoring game when Collingwood and Melbourne meet, but our final score prediction is 100-71, so we’re including the over in our AFL SGM picks.

Many of those points could come from Tim Membrey and Bayley Fritsch. Membrey scored two goals last week, which was his third 2+ goal game from his last five appearances. That form is good enough to include him in picks.

Fritsch didn’t score for Melbourne last week, but he kicked 11 goals from his previous four games. We expect him to get back to that form, and although kicking goals against Collingwood’s defence isn’t easy, he should stand up and attempt to end the year on a high for Melbourne.

Best Value Bet

Collingwood Wire-to-Wire @ $1.96

Collingwood should dominate the game from the outset, and the bigger the occasion, the better Collingwood typically plays.

The Magpies have enough firepower to put up a big first quarter lead, and the $1.96 odds will look generous if that happens. We expect them to lead after every quarter, so for a team paying $1.33 to win, getting $1.96 for a wire-to-wire win is a good price.

Daryl Curnow

About Daryl Curnow

After graduating from the University of Auckland (BA - English), Daryl was thrown into the world of sports and horse racing journalism. Having worked as a racing journalist for two years, he decided to move into the online world of horse racing and sports writing. After years of honing his craft, Daryl became a professional punter in 2009 - with a focus on horse racing, NRL, AFL, NBA, Rugby, NFL, and US college sports. Daryl's tips have been featured on various websites around the world before joining the GoBet team. When he's not working, Daryl tries to avoid making bogeys on the golf course.

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