GWS vs. Hawthorn Predictions – AFL Finals Week 1 2025

We have GWS vs. Hawthorn predictions for AFL action on Saturday September 6 at 3:15pm at ENGIE Stadium.

It’s another cracking AFL Finals game, and bookmakers are finding it tough to split the Giants and Hawks.

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GWS vs. Hawthorn Predictions

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Best Bet

Hawthorn H2H @ $2.08

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We have backed Hawthorn loyally all year, and although we didn’t expect them to finish as low as eighth, they’re still a premiership-quality team.

The Hawks got the better of GWS earlier this year when winning 76-64 at home, and although this game is on the road, we can’t see the Hawks getting bounced out of the playoffs in the first week. They are too talented for that to happen, so we’re including them in our picks.

The likes of Jack Gunston, Nick Watson, and Mabior Chol will need big scoring games, but we see no reason to jump off their backs following a loss to Brisbane. They defeated Collingwood 110-46 just three weeks ago, so that’s an excellent form guide for this finals game.

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Same Game Multi

Hawthorn H2H, Jack Gunston 3+ Goals, Mabior Chol 2+ Goals, Total Match Points Over 169.5 @ $9.50

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Gunston and Chol are keys to Hawthorn’s success, and we believe they will rise to the occasion. Chol was on fire early against the Lions last week when scoring their first three goals, and he could be in for a repeat effort.

He is a $2.50 chance to score a double, and his involvement in the offence is crucial. If he’s busy, the Hawks are a much better team. The same goes for Gunston, who had only two goals last week in a disappointing effort.

It was disappointing because he had 18 goals from his previous four games, including seven against Melbourne. If Gunston is anywhere near his best, scoring three goals shouldn’t be too difficult in what should be a high-scoring game.

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Best Value Bet

Mabior Chol First Goal Scorer @ $14.00

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Punters cashed in last week, and there is good value with Chol to kick the first goal on Saturday.

The rangy Hawk is a good marker of the ball, and most of his goals come from set shots. He has a good boot, and he could get over the top of the Giants’ defenders with ease.

Take the $14 odds and include him in AFL picks this week.