Thunder vs. Renegades Predictions – Big Bash Week 5 2026

We have Thunder vs. Renegades predictions for the Big Bash game, which will be held on Monday, January 12 at 7:15pm.

A win is needed for both teams, but we’re not surprised to see the Renegades open as favourites with Big Bash odds.

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Thunder vs. Renegades Predictions

Best Bet

Renegades @ $1.72

The Renegades were well-beaten by the Stars on Saturday night, but it wasn’t a bad performance. They scored a decent total, and they should fancy their chances of putting up a big total against a struggling Thunder outfit.

The Thunder rely heavily on David Warner, who scored another big score on Saturday. However, he came out of the game at the break with a quad injury, and although he’s listed in betting markets, he won’t be 100% if he plays.

Even if he’s playing, the rest of the Thunder team is struggling. They were thumped by the Brisbane Heat on Saturday despite setting 180 runs. The bowlers were lit up, and that should be enough for the Renegades to dominate the T20 contest.

Same Game Multi

Renegades H2H, Mohammad Rizwan Over 23.5 Runs, Jake Fraser-McGurk Over 16.5 Runs, Sam Billings Over 19.5 @ $8.50

Mohammad Rizwan has a good chance to post a big total against the struggling Thunder bowlers, who couldn’t make an impact on Saturday. Rizwan is a quality batter and this is his best chance to produce the goods.

The same goes for Jake Fraser-McGurk, who had a good start against the Stars before losing his wicket, but getting off to a good start could be enough to score over 16.5 runs. It’s a low total from bookmakers, so include him in Big Bash same game multis.

We’re betting against the Thunder, but Sam Billings should have over 19.5 runs. He played well last week, and if Warner doesn’t play, he could settle into his innings and score 30-40 runs.

Best Value Bet

Jake Fraser-McGurk Top Renegades Run Scorer @ $6.75

We have high expectations for Fraser-McGurk, who will come in after the Renegades lose a couple of wickets and have an immediate impact.

He is good enough to settle into his innings before playing big shots, and the 23-year-old could be an Australian T20 pick in the next few years.

Punters get $6.75, so include him in BBL picks as a value bet.

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Daryl Curnow

About Daryl Curnow

After graduating from the University of Auckland (BA - English), Daryl was thrown into the world of sports and horse racing journalism.

Having worked as a racing journalist for two years, he decided to move into the online world of horse racing and sports writing. After years of honing his craft, Daryl became a professional punter in 2009 - with a focus on horse racing, NRL, AFL, NBA, Rugby, NFL, and US college sports.

Daryl's tips have been featured on various websites around the world before joining the GoBet team. When he's not working, Daryl tries to avoid making bogeys on the golf course.