NRL Finals Week 1 Expert Tips & Predictions

The NRL continues this week for Round 1 of the Finals, kicking off with the Panthers vs Roosters on Friday night.

We have NRL betting tips for every game in 2024, including this weeks’ featured games between the Storm vs Sharks and Cowboys vs Knights.

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NRL Round Finals Week 1 Tips

Friday 13/9/24

7:50pm Penrith Panthers vs Sydney Roosters @ BlueBet Stadium

The Panthers haven’t been at their brilliant best in 2024, but they should prevail over the Roosters in the first finals game.

The Roosters are struggling with injuries, which isn’t unusual for them this time of the year, but it should have a big impact.

Penrith usually saves its best form for the NRL finals, and it will need to be good to cover the –7.5 spread, but playing at home is a bonus.

A grand return to form is expected for the Panthers, so take them to cover the spread and put the rest of the teams on notice.

Betting tip: Panthers –7.5 @ $1.90

Panthers by 12

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Saturday 14/9/24

4:05pm Melbourne Storm vs Cronulla Sharks @ AAMI Park

The Storm have been the best team throughout the year, and they are deserving of being the firm favourites.

They have also had some injury problems, but they’re at relatively good health to face the Sharks, and there are concerning signs for the Sharks.

After starting the year positively, their form has regressed significantly, and we think they’ll be playing next week.

They get +9.5 points with bookmakers, which is a sizable start, but the Storm have the class advantage by some margin, and they play at home.

Take the Storm –9.5 to include in NRL multis.

Betting tip: Storm –9.5 @ $1.90

Storm by 12

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7:50pm North Queensland Cowboys vs Newcastle Knights @ Country Bank Stadium

The Knights have more momentum heading into the finals after beating the Dolphins for the final spot. However, there is more natural talent with the Cowboys.

North Queensland has an excellent team on paper, and it’s good enough to win the NRL title, but it consistently switches off and allows the opposition to get back into the game.

We think the Knights are good enough to keep the game close, and it could be the closest game of NRL Finals Week 1.

Getting a +6.5 head start is enough to consider backing the underdog.

Betting tip: Knights +6.5 @ $1.90

Cowboys by 6

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Sunday 15/9/24

4:05pm Canterbury Bulldogs vs Manly Sea Eagles @ Accor Stadium

The Bulldogs were disappointing last week when getting hammered by the Cowboys, but their form could turn around.

The Sea Eagles were hammered by the Sharks, so neither team enters the NRL Finals with any momentum. However, we believe the Bulldogs are the better team.

After a good year, the Bulldogs would be the most disappointed to exit the competition, and we think they’re good enough to handle the Sea Eagles.

Getting a –1.5 line is fair from bookmakers, so take the home side.

Betting tip: Bulldogs –1.5 @ $1.90

Bulldogs by 6

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Daryl Curnow

About Daryl Curnow

After graduating from the University of Auckland (BA - English), Daryl was thrown into the world of sports and horse racing journalism. Having worked as a racing journalist for two years, he decided to move into the online world of horse racing and sports writing. After years of honing his craft, Daryl became a professional punter in 2009 - with a focus on horse racing, NRL, AFL, NBA, Rugby, NFL, and US college sports. Daryl's tips have been featured on various websites around the world before joining the GoBet team. When he's not working, Daryl tries to avoid making bogeys on the golf course.

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