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Rugby League World Cup Final Predictions
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Australia vs Samoa Betting Tips
Bookmakers have Australia as the dominant $1.12 favourite to win the World Cup, which isn’t surprising given its history. However, the Kangaroos weren’t overly impressive when beating New Zealand by just two points.They were behind for much of the contest, and if it wasn’t for the Kiwis turning the ball over at crucial times, they might not have won the game.Australia is always a tough team to get past when it really matters, which is why it has so much respect from bookmakers. The Kangaroos are used to winning team tournaments, and this is new ground for Samoa, so the class and experience edge is with the favourites.Samoa enters following a win over England. We’re not sure if that’s the best form guide, as we firmly believe the final should have been New Zealand vs Australia. However, they’re riding the wave of momentum and it has been a slow build for the Samoans.They were thrashed by England in their opening game, so to bounce back from that is impressive and beating Tonga and England in the finals can’t be overlooked.The sportsbook has Samoa at +17.5, so they’re getting almost three converted tries. That’s a big number for a final, and it will only take the likes of Jarome Luai to step up and keep the game close.It’s the second half we worry about for Samoa. They can stick with Australia for the first 40 minutes, but they could tire in the second half. However, we believe they’re good enough to keep it close and lose by a single-figure number.Bet: Samoa +17.5 @ $1.90 Bet @ BlueBet—
Australia vs Samoa Exotic Tips
Punters get also get value betting on exotic markets, such as pick your own line. It’s always a bit of a risk, but we’re taking Samoa +10.5 at the generous line of $2.66.We think the game could be much closer than bookmakers expect, so for a bit of fun and value, include Samoa with +10.5 points at the much better price.We also think it will be a low-scoring contest, much like the semifinal between Australia and New Zealand. The current line is 44.5 points, so bookmakers expect the final score to be around the 30-14 mark. However, we envisage a 24-14 score line, which sees the number go under the total.There is also value in Samoa to score first, whether it’s from a penalty kick or a try. It currently pays $3 with bookmakers, and given the randomness of the first scoring play, it’s worth including in Rugby League World Cup Final selections.Bet: Samoa +10.5 @ $2.66 Bet @ BlueBet
