The Manly Sea Eagles host the St George-Illawarra Dragons on Thursday April 17 at 7:50pm.
Bookmakers have the Sea Eagles at $1.60 to win, but there could be an upset brewing at 4 Pines Park.
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Sea Eagles vs. Dragons Predictions
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Best Bet
Dragons +3.5 @ $1.95
There hasn’t been much money for the Dragons since markets opened, but we’re happy to take the value odds available. After beating the Titans 38-16 last week, confidence is high with the Dragons, and the Sea Eagles have lost their last two games.
They lost to the Storm and Sharks, and although that’s stiff competition, they were blown off the park by the Storm, which dented their confidence. The Dragons have beaten the Storm 14-8 in a big upset, so they matchup well.
Despite loyal Dragons’ punters have been burned over the years, this team looks different. It’s capable of producing a top eight finish, and a win over the Sea Eagles is likely. They have a 23-13 lifetime record against Manly, so take the +3.5 line.
Same Game Multi
Dragons +3.5, Tyrell Sloan Anytime Try Scorer, Jason Saab Anytime Try Scorer, Total Match Points Under 47.5 @ $14.00
Tyrell Sloan has regained his confidence after scoring a double last week, and although he’s a streaky player, he’s good enough to produce the goods against Manly. Sloan thrives when the Dragons’ forwards dominate, and we see that happening on Thursday.
Jason Saab is always good for a try, hence the $1.67 odds. He has scored one try in four of his last five games, and he simply has enough speed to burn his defender and cross for a try. We expect his try to come in the second half when the defence is tried.
The last two games between the Sea Eagles and Dragons have gone under 47.5 points. They combined for 44 points and 32 points last year, and we don’t think it will be a high-scoring contest in 2025, so include the under in your NRL same game multi picks.
Best Value Bet
Valentine Holmes Anytime Try Scorer @ $2.70
Punters get good NRL odds for Valentine Holmes to score a try. The former Cowboys player is thriving at the Dragons, and he owns two tries from his last three games.
He’s a power runner at this best, and there is no reason why he can’t cross the line for a big four pointer on Thursday night. The Manly defence has allowed 62 points in its last two games, so there are tries to be scored.