The Melbourne Storm and New Zealand Warriors rivalry continues Sunday April 13 at 2:00pm, where the Storm are short favourites to win.
However, we have a feeling the Warriors will be up for the game as +16.5 underdogs with NRL odds.
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Storm vs. Warriors Predictions
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Best Bet
Warriors +16.5 @ $1.90
There is no doubt that the Storm are the better team in this matchup, but the Warriors aren’t that bad. Getting +16.5 points is too tough to overlook, especially considering how well they have been playing. They come off three consecutive wins over the Sea Eagles, Roosters, and Wests Tigers.
That’s solid enough form to keep it close against the Storm, considering the Storm and Warriors have the same win/loss record. The Storm were impressive against the Sea Eagles, but if the Warrior knuckle down on defence, they should cover the spread.
We would have been happy with a +14.5 start, so getting an extra two points is good for insurance. They are a good defensive team, limiting the Roosters to six points and Sea Eagles to 16 points.
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Same Game Multi
Warriors +16.5, Eliesa Katoa Anytime Try Scorer, Adam Pompey Anytime Try Scorer, Total Match Points Under 51.5 @ $20.25
The potential payout of our Storm vs. Warriors same game multi is huge, but we’re locking it in. The Warriors +16.5 is our best bet, so that’s included, and we also like under 51.5 points, which is an excellent line.
Many believe it will be a high scoring game because the Storm’s attack is so good. However, the Warriors are an underrated team on defence, and they’re good enough to make it an arm wrestle, where the finals score could be 28-14.
We also like Eliesa Katoa to score against his old team. He has extra incentive to cross the white stripe on Sunday, and punters get $2.25 for him to score a try. We also like Adam Pompey, who scored last week, and he’s a good chance of scoring again at $2.30 odds.
Best Value Bet
Warriors +8.5 Halftime Spread @ $1.84
The key for the Warriors is keeping it close at halftime, and although $1.84 isn’t often considered value, the +8.5 line is a value line.
We can’t see the Warriors getting blown off the park in the opening 40 minutes, and they are a sneaky chance of leading at the half. That option pays $3.80, which is slightly better value, but we’re taking the safer option.