2023 Men’s US Open Final – Djokovic vs. Medvedev Predictions

The US Open Men’s final promises to deliver as the greatest of all time Novak Djokovic faces past US Open winner Daniil Medvedev.

Monday’s final could be an epic, and considering their experience winning at Flushing Meadows, we expect a close contest.

Djokovic is the $1.36 favourite the the best betting sites, but after beating Carlos Alcaraz, there is some underdog support for the Russian.

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2023 Men’s US Open Final – Djokovic vs. Medvedev Predictions

Novak Djokovic vs Daniil Medvedev Predictions

Djokovic made short work of American Ben Shelton in his semifinal, but that was to be expected.

The Serbian made him look second-rate, but we feel as though he’s not playing at his usual top-end level, which is a cause for concern against someone like Medvedev.

Medvedev isn’t some random player who has exceeded expectations, and he showed that when dismantling hype train Alcaraz in his semifinal. Despite event organisers having Alcaraz’s face for their US Open Final advertising, it won’t be him in the final.

Instead, the Russian is playing his best tennis on his favourite surface. He has always played best on hard courts, so he has to endure a long grass and clay tournament season to get to the US Open and Australian Opens.

Given the way they are hitting the ball, it looks like Djokovic has lost some of his speed, and that’s where Medvedev can strike. He has an electric done-the-line forehand, which even the greatest returner could struggle to catch up with.

There is good value with Medvedev. He doesn’t mind a dog fight, and it feels like he’s playing the better tennis, so why not take the value?

Most of the money has come for Medvedev, who opened at $3.10 before firming into $2.98. It’s well-placed money, and we expect more to come on the morning of the final.

Medvedev could close at around $2.75, so it could pay to jump on his current odds. We can’t see his price drifting at all.

Bet: Daniil Medvedev @ $2.98

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Novak Djokovic vs Daniil Medvedev Exotic Tips

There is always good value with tennis exotic odds, and we have found the best for the US Open Final.

We’re centering our selections around Medvedev winning, so $6.75 for him to win 3-1 is a fantastic price, as is $2.30 for him to win the first set.

He should want to give Djokovic something to think about from the outset, and winning the first set would take him a long way to winning overall.

Should he win the first set, we’re prepared to accept that Djokovic will win at least one set. It’s a risky bet, but that’s why punters get value odds.

If shorter odds are your thing, take Medvedev to cover the +4.5 spread. Even if he loses, it should be a close affair. That line is generous enough for punters to cash in.

It has been heavily backed into $1.76, so there’s not a lot of value there, but it’s worth including in your multi bets.

Bet: Medvedev first set winner @ $2.30

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Daryl Curnow

About Daryl Curnow

After graduating from the University of Auckland (BA - English), Daryl was thrown into the world of sports and horse racing journalism. Having worked as a racing journalist for two years, he decided to move into the online world of horse racing and sports writing. After years of honing his craft, Daryl became a professional punter in 2009 - with a focus on horse racing, NRL, AFL, NBA, Rugby, NFL, and US college sports. Daryl's tips have been featured on various websites around the world before joining the GoBet team. When he's not working, Daryl tries to avoid making bogeys on the golf course.

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