It all comes down to Saturday afternoon where the Sydney Swans and Brisbane Lions battle for the AFL Grand Final at the MCG.
We have AFL betting tips for the Sydney vs Brisbane, including Grand Final winner, first goal scorer, and Norm Smith Medal winner.
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AFL Grand Final Tips
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Saturday 28/9/24
2:30pm Sydney Swans vs Brisbane Lions @ MCG
They Swans have been the best team from the outset, and they look to cap off a great 2024 with a win in the AFL Grand Final. However, it won’t be easy against the surging Brisbane Lions.
The Lions were too strong for the Geelong Cats on the road last week, and losing in last year’s Grand Final should give them a mental edge on Saturday. They know what it takes to get to this stage, and losing should have made them stronger.
They have already shown their strength after pushing past Carlton, GWS, and Geelong in the AFL Finals, and now they have the toughest test of them all against Sydney.
The Swans have got down to business in the Finals, beating GWS 88-82 before dismantling Port Adelaide 95-59 last week.
Bookmakers have the Swans at $1.73 at the neutral venue, which was expected. Punters knew the Lions would be underdogs, considering they finished fifth on the AFL ladder. However, they also represent the best value in the AFL Grand Final.
We’re backing the Lions to give the Swans some heartbreak, and it will be redemption for Brisbane after losing a heartbreaker in 2023. The Lions have momentum on their side, and getting $2.12 in what should be a close final is too good to pass up.
Betting tip: Brisbane @ $2.12
Brisbane by 5
Use Code 'GOBET500'Sydney vs Brisbane AFL Grand Final Exotic Tips
There is good value with exotic betting markets for the Grand Final, including first goal scorer and most disposals.
Our pick for first goal scorer is none other than Joe Daniher, who single-handedly lifted the Lions to their win over the GWS, and he could get on the scorers’ list straight off the bat.
He’s the current $10.50 favourite to score the first goal of the AFL Grand Final, which is worth taking, and multi bet players could also include him as a two-time goal scorer, which pays $1.62. He should have at least two goals in the final.
Charlie Cameron to score two or more goals at $1.93 is also worth including in AFL multis. He has scored at least two goals in his last four games, so he’s getting hot at the right time of the year.
We’re picking Lachie Neale to have the most disposals. He’s on the second line of betting at $4.25 behind only Sydney’s Errol Gulden, but after another impressive year, Neale is the player to bet on.
It will be a tough game in the midfield, and Neale will need to put in the hard yards if Brisbane are to win. He’s the key player of the game, and the odds are too good to pass up.
Our final exotic AFL Grand Final pick is under 170.5 points. It should be a tight defensive battle, which could result in an 81-76 scoreline, which gives punters enough points to work with to comfortable lock in the under.
Betting tip: Joe Daniher First Goal Scorer @ $10.50
2024 AFL Grand Final Norm Smith Medal Winner
It’s no surprise we’re backing Neale to win the 2024 Norm Smith Medal, and punters get value odds of $7.00.
The perennial Brownlow Medal contender is one of the best players in the game, and he’s crucial to the Lions’ success. Therefore, we expect him to play well and win the Norm Smith Medal.
The current favourite is Isaac Heeney, who is the obvious choice if Sydney wins the game. If you disagree with our game pick and think Sydney will win, we suggest backing Heeney at $5.00 to win the Norm Smith Medal.
There is also an outside chance of Daniher winning at juicy odds of $26.00. If he has a big game in front of goal, and puts in a lot of work to get open, the votes could go his way.
Betting tip: Lachie Neale @ $7.00
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