The AFL continues this week for Round 11 action, kicking off with Geelong vs Western Bulldogs on Thursday night.
We have AFL betting tips for every game in 2025, including this week’s featured games between Carlton vs GWS, Hawthorn vs Brisbane, and Melbourne vs Sydney.
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AFL Round 11 Tips
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Thursday 22/5/25
The Western Bulldogs put on a clinic against Essendon last week, and that form could continue against a much harder opponent in Geelong.
Geelong comes off a big win over Port Adelaide, but the Bulldogs looked incredible, and they have one of the best midfields in the game, which could see Geelong playing from behind from the outset.
Take the Bulldogs to win at even money.
Western Bulldogs by 14
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Friday 23/5/25
Essendon plays much better against the lower-graded teams, so it could bounce back to beat the Richmond Tigers on Friday night.
Richmond had its chances to win on Sunday against North Melbourne, but it failed to kick goals in the final term. Similar play won’t see them compete against the Bombers, who need to save face after being trounced by the Bulldogs.
It’s now or never for Essendon, who need to measure up and score a lopsided win.
Essendon by 30
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Saturday 24/5/25
It’s hard to know what Carlton and GWS will produce week-to-week, with both teams coming off poor Round 10 losses.
Carlton lost to Sydney 78-62 and GWS lost 95-61 at home to Fremantle, so the better play came from the Blues, who should fancy their chances of getting a much-needed win on the board.
Sitting in 11th spot on the AFL ladder, Carlton is desperate, and that could result in a win.
Carlton by 10
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Beating last year’s champions won’t be easy for Hawthorn, but this is a defining game for its 2025 campaign.
After losing 104-96 to the Gold Coast SUNS last week, Hawthorn has its back against the wall, and a win over Brisbane would lift confidence levels.
There is market confidence at the –8.5 line, and because they play at the MCG, we give Hawthorn the advantage.
Hawthorn by 15
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This will likely be the only time we back North Melbourne against the powerhouse of Collingwood, and it’s based on how the Kangaroos played in the final quarter last week.
We were impressed by their courage to get stuck into Richmond, and their physicality overpowered their opposition. They’ll need to match that effort this week but getting +35.5 points is a fair head start.
Collingwood is the better team, but it’s a big line, so take the underdogs to stick with them.
Collingwood by 28
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We put our faith in Port Adelaide last week and it was terribly disappointing. Therefore, we’re backing against the Power on Saturday night.
We were more impressed by Fremantle last week, which scored a good win over GWS, and that form stacks up well against teams like Port Adelaide, which has slipped to 15th on the AFL ladder, and that’s not a good sign.
The –17.5 is generous with AFL odds, so take the value.
Fremantle by 25
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Sunday 25/5/25
We might be backing North Melbourne to cover the spread, but we won’t be caught dead backing the lowly West Coast Eagles, despite pulling off a rare win over St Kilda on Sunday.
They are a terrible footy team, as reflected by their $9.50 head-to-head odds, and Adelaide should hand them another big loss on Sunday afternoon.
The –50.5 line is hefty, but with West Coast likely to show no resistance, Adelaide is the team to back.
Adelaide by 56
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There has been some betting support for Melbourne, which leads us to believe that they’ll be tough to beat.
It comes off a tidy 99-88 win over Brisbane, which was its best performance of the year, and although Sydney has been playing well, this could be Melbourne’s chance to gain momentum.
There is an upset in the making, so take Melbourne to win.
Melbourne by 7
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It’s not always easy to back Gold Coast consistently, but they come off a good win over Hawthorn, and that form checks out.
They are a team that can finish in the top four, and with St Kilda coming off an unforgivable loss to West Coast, their confidence will be shot.
Take Gold Coast to win comfortably and cover the spread.
Gold Coast by 20
