AFL Round 7 Expert Tips & Predictions

The AFL continues with Round 7 action this week, starting on Thursday with Melbourne vs Richmond at the MCG.

We have AFL betting tips for every game in 2025, including this week’s featured games between Collingwood vs Essendon, Fremantle vs Adelaide, and Carlton vs Geelong.

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AFL Round 7 Tips

Thursday 24/4/25

7:30pm Melbourne vs Richmond @ MCG

Melbourne and Richmond scored surprise wins last week at big odds, and one lucky team gets to win consecutive games on Thursday.

Most of the early money has come for Melbourne, and although 2025 has been shocking for the Demons, they have more potential than the Tigers.

A comfortable win could be in store for Melbourne, which still has time to recover and make a play for playoff footy.

Betting tip: Melbourne –24.5 @ $1.90

Melbourne by 32

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Friday 25/4/25

3:20pm Collingwood vs Essendon @ MCG

ANZAC Day action starts with Collingwood vs Essendon, in what could be closer than bookmakers expect.

Essendon might have only won narrowly against a poor opponent last week, but the last-gasp win holds it in good stead. It should give the Bombers confidence to keep teams like Collingwood close.

The current AFL spread is Collingwood –28.5, but punters could be in for a thriller at the MCG.

Betting tip: Essendon +28.5 @ $1.90

Collingwood by 18

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8:10pm Fremantle vs Adelaide @ Optus Stadium

Fremantle had a great chance to post an important win last week, but they didn’t take it. Looking to double down on their woes is Adelaide, which is playing much better.

The Crows have secured their spot inside the top eight for the meantime with a good win over GWS, and although it was a low-scoring affair, it showcased their defence.

We don’t see Fremantle bouncing back, and Adelaide has much more upside.

Betting tip: Adelaide @ $2.02

Adelaide by 10

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Saturday 26/4/25

1:20pm St Kilda vs Brisbane @ Marvel Stadium

Brisbane didn’t fire a shot against Collingwood in a dour effort last week, but we’re picking it to bounce back to winning form.

The Saints haven’t been overly impressive, sitting in 12th on the AFL ladder, and Brisbane should look to take advantage on the road.

Getting the Lions at –11.5 is a generous line from bookmakers, so we’re jumping on it.

Betting tip: Brisbane –11.5 @ $1.90

Brisbane by 21

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4:15pm Port Adelaide vs North Melbourne @ Adelaide Oval

An easy win should be on the horizon for Port Adelaide, which gets an easy game against North Melbourne on Saturday.

We don’t rate the Kangaroos one bit, and they proved us right when getting hammered by Carlton last week. That wasn’t a good performance, and it doesn’t instill confidence for Round 7.

The Power play at home, and they should result in a one-sided victory.

Betting tip: Port Adelaide –35.5 @ $1.90

Port Adelaide by 50

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7:35pm GWS Giants vs Western Bulldogs @ Manuka Oval

A distinct lack of offence is a concern for GWS, which couldn’t kick goals against Adelaide last week in a tight contest.

Scoring points hasn’t been hard for the Western Bulldogs, who piled it on the points against St Kilda, but losing Sam Darcy could come at a cost.

The Giants are primed to take advantage at home and getting a –11.5 line is generous. They are good enough to rebound and get back to their best form.

Betting tip: GWS -11.5 @ $1.90

GWS by 19

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Sunday 27/4/25

1:15pm Gold Coast vs Sydney @ People First Stadium

Gold Coast comes off a loss to Richmond, which is its worst performance in a long time.

Not many teams lose to the Tigers, and it’s a cause for concern when facing the Sydney Swans on Sunday, especially with Sydney paying $2.50.

Those odds are too generous to overlook, and although Sydney 2025 isn’t Sydney from 2024, it’s still talented and ready to cause an upset.

Betting tip: Sydney @ $2.50

Sydney by 8

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3:20pm Carlton vs Geelong @ MCG

Carlton has enough ability to hang with any team in the AFL on its day, and this could be the Blues day.

They showed what they can do last week when scoring a one-sided win over North Melbourne, and although Geelong is much better, Carlton should have confidence.

Getting Carlton at $2.52 is a good price from bookmakers, and although it’s a risky bet, Geelong could struggle to win the 50/50 balls, which could lead to quick turnover possession for the Blues.

Betting tip: Carlton @ $2.52

Carlton by 7

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4:45pm Hawthorn vs West Coast @ Marvel Stadium

Hawthorn hasn’t looked as good in recent times, but West Coast is the worst team in the competition, so expect a big win for the Hawks.

The Hawks are –58.5 favourites, which is one of the biggest lines over the first seven rounds, and we have little doubt Hawthorn can cover it.

Backing West Coast to cover a spread can be tough, and although it pushed Essendon close, this will be a different game.

Betting tip: Hawthorn –58.5 @ $1.90

Hawthorn by 66

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Daryl Curnow

About Daryl Curnow

After graduating from the University of Auckland (BA - English), Daryl was thrown into the world of sports and horse racing journalism. Having worked as a racing journalist for two years, he decided to move into the online world of horse racing and sports writing. After years of honing his craft, Daryl became a professional punter in 2009 - with a focus on horse racing, NRL, AFL, NBA, Rugby, NFL, and US college sports. Daryl's tips have been featured on various websites around the world before joining the GoBet team. When he's not working, Daryl tries to avoid making bogeys on the golf course.

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