Collingwood vs. Hawthorn Predictions – AFL Round 12 2025

We have Collingwood vs. Hawthorn predictions for action on Friday May 30 at 7:40pm at the MCG.

It should be the game of the round as premiership-leading Collingwood looks to hold off Hawks team that’s suddenly struggling to win.

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Collingwood vs. Hawthorn Predictions

Best Bet

Hawthorn +7.5 @ $1.90

Our preseason predictions had Hawthorn winning the title, and despite losing its last two games to Gold Coast and Brisbane, we’re sticking with the Hawks.

They struggled offensively last week when losing 93-60 to the champions, but with their backs against the wall, the best way to get back into premiership contention is by beating the top-ranked team. Collingwood is 9-2, but it’s due a loss after three consecutive wins.

The 2024 Hawks won 133-67, and although that came later in the year when they were firing on all cylinders, there is enough talent with the Hawks to spring a surprise result on Friday. We’re backing them at +7.5, and there is also good value with the head-to-head odds of $2.31.

Same Game Multi

Hawthorn +7.5, Jamie Elliott 2+ Goals, Jack Gunston 2+ Goals, Total Match Points Over 170.5 @ $7.00

We are confident with our goal scoring picks this week, which should boost AFL same game multi odds. Jamie Elliott has been reliable for the Magpies, scoring 18 goals from his last five games, including five goals last week.

That’s an excellent record, and he should have success against Hawthorn. The Hawks counter with many goal scoring threats, who all had no goals last week. That includes Jack Gunston, who was much better prior to that with 13 goals from his previous four games. He should score a double at $1.75 odds.

Over 170.5 is an excellent line. It should be a game with plenty of goals, and they combined for 200 points in their last recent meeting. There is some rain about on Friday, but it should be a 93-87-type scoreline. If the forecast for rain does come, punters should expect the total points line to drop during the week.

Best Value Bet

Jack Gunston First Goal Scorer @ $11.00

Jack Gunston knows how important it is for Hawthorn to get off a positive start. After scoring no goals last week, pressure is on him to perform for the underdogs, and we believe he’ll step up to the plate.

Hawthorn’s midfield only needs to measure up for Gunston to get kicking opportunities, and if he gets one early, he should convert for the opening goal at $11 odds.

Daryl Curnow

About Daryl Curnow

After graduating from the University of Auckland (BA - English), Daryl was thrown into the world of sports and horse racing journalism. Having worked as a racing journalist for two years, he decided to move into the online world of horse racing and sports writing. After years of honing his craft, Daryl became a professional punter in 2009 - with a focus on horse racing, NRL, AFL, NBA, Rugby, NFL, and US college sports. Daryl's tips have been featured on various websites around the world before joining the GoBet team. When he's not working, Daryl tries to avoid making bogeys on the golf course.

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