Port Adelaide vs. Geelong Predictions – AFL Round 10 2025

We have Port Adelaide vs. Geelong predictions for action on Saturday May 17 at 4:15pm.

Money has come for Geelong with the latest AFL odds, but there could be an upset on the cards for the Round 10 feature.

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Port Adelaide vs. Geelong Predictions

Best Bet

Port Adelaide +6.5 @ $1.90

Despite losing consecutive games, we’re going with Port Adelaide to hold down the fort at home. The Power lost heavily to the Western Bulldogs before losing a close game to Adelaide, which followed three consecutive wins.

They scored wins over Hawthorn and Sydney, so there’s nothing wrong with that form. They now face a Geelong team coming off a 105-101 loss to GWS, and it hasn’t shown much consistency throughout 2025.

Despite being six positions higher on the AFL ladder, Geelong has only one more win than Port Adelaide, so getting +6.5 is a good line. It should be a close contest, and getting points at home is always a positive.

Same Game Multi

Port Adelaide +6.5, Mitch Georgiades 2+ Goals, Connor Rozee 25+ Disposals, Total Match Points Under 179.5 @ $5.25

The odds for our same game multi aren’t massive, but it has a good chance of cashing on Saturday afternoon.

We’re backing Mitch Georgiades to kick two goals, and he has been firing for the Power. He has 11 goals from his last five games, including a double last week. Punters get $1.44 odds for Georgiades to kick 2+ goals, which is worth including in picks.

We’re also taking the shorts for Connor Rozee to have 25+ disposals. He has recorded at least 25 disposals in his last five games, so although taking $1.32 is on the shorter side of value, it’s enough to boost payouts.

Under 179.5 is worth including, despite recent meetings favouring the over. They have struggled to score points at times, with Port Adelaide scoring 41 against the Western Bulldogs and Geelong scoring 76 against Carlton. Therefore, under 179.5 is a good line for punters.

Best Value Bet

Willie Rioli First Goal Scorer @ $15.00

Willie Rioli is a player who could get Port Adelaide off to a big start, and getting $15 for him to score the first goal is good shopping.

He scored two goals last week, and he has nine goals from his last four games. He’s being underrated in goal scorer markets, and there is also good value with the $2.55 to score 2+ goals.

Daryl Curnow

About Daryl Curnow

After graduating from the University of Auckland (BA - English), Daryl was thrown into the world of sports and horse racing journalism. Having worked as a racing journalist for two years, he decided to move into the online world of horse racing and sports writing. After years of honing his craft, Daryl became a professional punter in 2009 - with a focus on horse racing, NRL, AFL, NBA, Rugby, NFL, and US college sports. Daryl's tips have been featured on various websites around the world before joining the GoBet team. When he's not working, Daryl tries to avoid making bogeys on the golf course.

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