The NBA Finals continue Saturday with Game 4 between the Oklahoma City Thunder vs Indiana Pacers, with the Pacers owning a 2-1 series lead.
We have NBA Finals Game 4 expert tips and predictions for the big game, with pressure being on the Thunder to square it up.
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NBA Finals Game 4 Tips
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We backed the Thunder to cover the –5.5 spread in Game 3, and despite leading by 8-9 points at one point, they weren’t able to sustain that level of play. The Pacers wore them down, but we believe the Thunder bounces back.
They played too well during the regular season to fold over easily in the NBA Finals, and going down 1-3 could spell the end of their playoff chances. However, if Shai Gilgeous-Alexander gets some help from his teammates, they should win Game 4 on Saturday.
More is needed from the likes of Chet Holmgren and Jalen Williams. They have been mostly disappointing during the playoffs, so if they play better, they should win and cover the spread.
Limiting turnovers will also be key. OKC had the best defence in the league, but Indiana turned it up in Game 3 to force a lot of turnovers. If the Thunder take care of the ball, they will get more shooting opportunities, which should translate to more points.
It’s a crucial game of the NBA Finals, and although backing the team trailing 2-1 on the road isn’t easy, we’re choosing to keep the faith with the Thunder, who have been preparing for this title run for a few years.
Thunder by 8
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We were harsh on Holmgren, who had 20 points in Game 3, but he could have been so much better. He couldn’t get wide-open shots from the three-point line because of Indiana’s defence, but he should get better chances in Game 4.
The rangy player has all the tools to post 20+ points, and punters get much better odds than expected. We priced him around $2.25 to score 20+ points, in what should be a high-scoring game, so take the value available.
Our NBA Finals Game 4 predictions include Luguentz Dort 2+ threes. He scored his first four three-point attempts on Thursday, and he’s a sharpshooter when he’s on his game. He has 15 three pointers made from his last five games, so scoring 2+ threes shouldn’t be too difficult for the Thunder player. Punters don’t get massive odds of $1.58, but he’s worth including in NBA Finals multis.
Punters get much better odds for Holmgren 20+ points/Thunder win. It pays $4.60, and we believe both bets will win, so we’re happy to take the boosted odds. The Thunder should win the game outright, and they’re paying short odds to tie the series at 2-2.
