We have expert betting tips for Super Rugby AU Round 1, which kicks off on Friday night.
Rugby is back and punters get two games to bet on this week. We preview Reds vs. Waratahs and Force vs. Brumbies.
Value is available with bookmakers and we look at the best bets for both games.
Super Rugby AU Round 1 Predictions
7:45pm Queensland Reds vs. New South Wales Waratahs @ Suncorp Stadium
The Queensland Reds enter this season with high expectations and a point to prove after losing in the Grand Final last season.
They open as short favourites against the Waratahs in what should be a classic rivalry clash. Unfortunately, for the Reds, they will be without star signing Suliasi Vunivalu, who was involved in a fight.
The former Melbourne Storm winger would have added some star appeal to this team, which still has the likes of Jordan Petaia, Filipo Daugunu and James O’Connor. However, there is a lack of experience across the park for Queensland.
The back line aren’t household names, and whilst they are talented, there is plenty to prove. The same goes for the Waratahs, who are without their big names as well.
Even to the biggest Australian rugby fans, the Waratahs back line is unrecognisable. However, players that have a point to prove often play better.
We’re expecting a close game to kick off the new season. Queensland has the advantage of playing at home and a slightly better team on paper.
Bookmakers currently have the Reds as –8.5 favourites and they are good enough to cover the spread by a narrow margin.
We think the Reds will win by 10 points, so take the Reds to cover the spread.
Betting tip: Queensland Reds –8.5 @ $1.90 – Bet @ Sportsbet
9:55pm Western Force vs. ACT Brumbies @ HBF Park
The Brumbies search for back-to-back Super Rugby AU titles and punters get surprisingly good odds for the opening games.
The Western Force were very average last season, and although they should improve with that year under their belt, we wouldn’t frame them at $2.80.
They struggled throughout the season and despite playing at home for the opening game, it doesn’t often matter with this franchise.
ACT comes off a tremendous year and although this team isn’t the same that won the title, the winning culture has been engrained.
The Brumbies still have the likes of Nic White and James Slipper, who are two important players in important positions. Add to that the likes of Folau Faingaa and Andrew Muirhead, the Brumbies should be confident.
Looking to stop the Brumbies are some new Force players, including Tevita Kuridrani and Richard Kahui. It’s an intriguing back line that is talented, but it might need a few weeks to gel.
Take the Brumbies to win on Friday night and cover the 5.5-point spread. They will be tough to hold out and defending champions often start their season with a win.
Betting tip: ACT Brumbies –5.5 @ $1.84 – Bet @ Sportsbet
After graduating from the University of Auckland (BA – English), Daryl was thrown into the world of sports and horse racing journalism.
Having worked as a racing journalist for two years, he decided to move into the online world of horse racing and sports writing. After years of honing his craft, Daryl became a professional punter in 2009 – with a focus on horse racing, NRL, AFL, NBA, Rugby, NFL, and US college sports. Daryl’s tips have been featured on various websites around the world before joining the GoBet team. When he’s not working, Daryl tries to avoid making bogeys on the golf course.