We have expert betting tips for Super Rugby AU Round 10, which starts on Friday night with the Force vs Reds.
The Waratahs and Rebels also meet on Saturday, so punters get two quality games to bet on in Super Rugby Round 10.
Super Rugby AU Round 10 Predictions
7:45pm Force vs Reds @ HBF Park
The Force notched their third win of the season against the Waratahs last week and they’re now third on the premiership ladder.
It has been a big turnaround for the Western Force, who were the easy beats last season. Last week’s 31-30 thriller came against the worst team in Super Rugby, but it will give the Force plenty of confidence going forward.
A much harder game is expected on Friday when they take on the Reds, which are well-rested having had the bye last week.
Queensland has been the best team in the competition this season, which includes two wins over the ACT Brumbies. One of those wins came in Round 8 when scoring a thrilling 24-22 victory at home.
Playing on the road hasn’t been as easy for the Reds, but they are undefeated from seven games, so it’s hard to find a negative.
Bookmakers have the Reds as $1.28 favourites and –8.5 in spread markets. That’s a fair line given their form and we think the Reds will be too much to handle.
We like the improvement of the Force in 2021, but the Reds are a class act and they won’t be taking their opposition lightly.
Jordan Petaia has been a standout player and he is worth a bet in try-scoring market. Petaia is paying $2.30 to score in what should be a high-scoring contest.
Betting tip: Reds –8.5 @ $1.90 – Bet @ Sportsbet
7:45pm Waratahs vs Rebels @ Bankwest Stadium
The horrible season for the Waratahs continued last week when failing to beat the Western Force in Perth.
The Waratahs are now winless from seven games and with a –143 points differential, it’s in the realm of embarrassment at this stage.
Looking to add more pain to Waratahs’ supporters are the Melbourne Rebels, which have fallen out of playoff contention. The Rebels sit in fourth with only two wins and five losses, so a much better outing is needed on Saturday.
They lost 26-20 to the Brumbies last week, and although it wasn’t a bad outing, they didn’t take their chances. It was a game the Rebels could have won and they needed it, but as it stands, the Rebels need a miracle to close the gap on the Reds and Brumbies.
Beating the Waratahs hasn’t been hard for most teams, but the Rebels could struggle. We doubt whether the Rebels are capable of blowing a team off the park, so punters could entertain the +7.5 line for the Waratahs on Saturday.
Even though the Tahs have been awful, they improved last week. It should give them confidence knowing they can keep it close and playing at home is ideal.
We couldn’t confidently take the Rebels to cover a spread given their form, so take the Waratahs to make a game of it.
A player we think could cross the line is Jack Maddocks. He is playing good enough to warrant attention and punters get juicy odds. He is paying $3.50 to score a try, which is the value play of this game.
Betting tip: Waratahs +7.5 @ $1.90 – Bet @ Sportsbet
David is sports and horse racing fanatic and is GoBet’s most prolific writer. Having grown up in Victoria, he has a passion for AFL and covers multiple horse racing meets every week, as well as all of the big Group 1 races in Australia.