Men’s US Open Semi-finals Predictions & Betting Tips

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Men’s US Open Semi-finals Predictions & Betting Tips

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We’re down to the final four players for the US Open Men’s draw, and it doesn’t get much better than this.

Young Ben Shelton faces his biggest test to date against Novak Djokovic. Meanwhile, Carlos Alcaraz and Daniil Medvedev square off in what should be a close second semifinal at Flushing Meadows.

We look at the best tennis betting tips for the US Open semifinals on Saturday.

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Men’s US Open Semi-finals Predictions

Ben Shelton vs Novak Djokovic

Credit goes to Shelton for making the semifinals. The youngster has played excellent tennis, on the back of a quality serve and powerful ground strokes.

However, we don’t expect him to beat the greatest of all time, and he’ll do well to avoid losing in straight sets.

Djokovic might not be at his brilliant best so far throughout the 2023 US Open, but he hasn’t needed to be, and he might not need to be against Shelton. It’s not easy to win a grand slam match and leave something in the tank, but it wouldn’t be the worst strategy, especially with Alcaraz or Medvedev on the horizon.

That’s no knock on the ability of Shelton. He deserves his place in the semifinals, but Djokovic is the $1.03 favourite for a reason.

Bookmakers have Djokovic 3-0 at $1.64, and it’s tough to bet against that option. We can’t see how Shelton takes a set off the US Open second favourite, who will want to limit his time spent on court in the sticky conditions.

We also like Djokovic –7.5 games. He could win one of the sets 6-1, so that option is our best bet. It has been backed into $1.80, so the line could move.

Bet: Novak Djokovic –7.5 @ $1.80

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Carlos Alcaraz vs Daniil Medvedev

Tennis fans are in for an exciting match between two of the best players in the world.

Alcaraz, despite being the best player in the world, gets the much harder semifinal draw, but he’s well-favoured to beat the Russian star.

The Spaniard is the $1.23 outright favourite following an emphatic quarterfinal win, and he is the new superstar on the rise. We believe he’s good enough to become the new dominant force in tennis, but first, he needs to get past Medvedev.

Medvedev did the job against fellow Russian Andrey Rublev, winning in straight sets. It wasn’t an easy win and Rublev will rue missed chances, but Medvedev is all class, and hard courts are his favourite surface.

He’s a past US Open champion, so he must be respected. Bookmakers have the game handicap at 5.5, which is a tough line. Alcaraz is good enough to blow him off the court, but we’re giving Medvedev the benefit of the doubt.

He’s the more experienced player, and punters get $2 for him to cover. It won’t be an easy watch, and it might require him to win a set, but this is a big occasion, and he usually handles pressure well.

Bet: Daniil Medvedev +5.5 @ $2

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About Daryl Curnow

After graduating from the University of Auckland (BA - English), Daryl was thrown into the world of sports and horse racing journalism. Having worked as a racing journalist for two years, he decided to move into the online world of horse racing and sports writing. After years of honing his craft, Daryl became a professional punter in 2009 - with a focus on horse racing, NRL, AFL, NBA, Rugby, NFL, and US college sports. Daryl's tips have been featured on various websites around the world before joining the GoBet team. When he's not working, Daryl tries to avoid making bogeys on the golf course.