Australia’s richest race, The Everest, runs at Randwick this Saturday and it has already been an action-packed week in the industry.
The weather could play havoc on the field and there have been some late changes to the field. Home of the Brave makes way for stablemate Osborne Bulls and bookmakers can’t determine a clear favourite on the wet track.
For the first time, emergencies are allowed in The Everest which should also make for an interesting week.
We have our best bet, best each way and best roughie for the $13 million sprinting feature this Saturday.
Be sure to shop around for the best odds this weekend and we recommend checking out Neds.
2018 The Everest final field, barrier draw and odds
Our Best Bets for The Everest 2018
Redzel @ $7 – BET NOW
Best Each Way Bet:
Santa Ana Lane @ $8 – BET NOW
Brave Smash @ $13 – BET NOW
The Everest 2018 form guide and tips
Redzel (Best Bet – $7) – BET NOW
Last year’s winner hasn’t been in the best form this campaign, which has included a win in the Concorde Stakes but was followed by a disappointing fifth last start.
The Snowden-trained sprinter didn’t cope with the hot pace in the Premiere Stakes but we’re allowing him another chance and the conditions should play into his hands. He has two wins and three placings on a heavy surface and he could lead all the way here.
The inside draw is a slight turn off but he will find the front, ease out on the turn and provide a good kick in the straight.
Santa Ana Lane (Best Each Way – $8) – BET NOW
Santa Ana Lane has improved mightily this year, which has included wins in the Group 1 Stradbroke Handicap and Group 1 Goodwood Handicap.
He comes into this race having scored a tremendous win in the Premiere Stakes at Randwick when bursting along the inside of runners. That holds him in good stead for this and although he doesn’t have the same star attraction as some of these, he deserves respect and the $8 is a fair price from bookmakers.
Le Romain ($21) – BET NOW
Wasn’t far off being the best each way bet. The Kris Lees-trained six-year-old finished second behind Winx over 1600m last start and he won’t mind the drop in distance.
He was a winner over 1200m in the Show County to kick off this campaign and he should get into the best part of the track from barrier 11.
$21 is way over the odds for a proven Group 1 performer which has two wins and eight placings on rain-affected ground.
Trapeze Artist ($7) – BET NOW
Equal favourite which hasn’t impressed in two runs back from a spell but there’s plenty of room for improvement.
The Gerald Ryan-trained stallion was set for the breeding barn this season but connections decided to stay on for The Everest and it could prove a good move following the race.
He will need to find a length to beat them here, but he has been set for this race and his recent form might not be the best guide.
Track conditions are a worry.
Vega Magic ($7) – BET NOW
Owns two wins from three starts on a heavy track and although beaten in the Group 1 Memsie Stakes last start, he did a lot of work in front and only got tired late.
He started as the favourite in the 2017 Everest and finished second was a good result. He looks a good chance to repeat that effort of last year and he adds another piece to the puzzle.
Punters have a love/hate relationship with the son of Lope de Vega but don’t question his top-level talent.
Brave Smash (Best Roughie – $13) – BET NOW
Often the subject of unfair criticism despite a good record and he finished third in this race last season.
The former Japanese sprinter comes into this having stormed home to finish second in the Group 1 Moir Stakes at Moonee Valley and the Japanese horses know how to handle wet tracks.
He should get a gun run from barrier four to sit just off the speed. He has the ability to storm over the top of them and he could be the forgotten runner.
US Navy Flag ($9) – BET NOW
Money has come for the Aidan O’Brien-trained runner which scored a quality win in the July Cup at Newmarket last start.
European sprinting form doesn’t always bode well in Australia, unlike the staying form and that’s our biggest worry. There’s no doubting his class overseas but the Australian sprinters run slick sectionals and we’re not sure he’ll be able to soak that up.
Form in the wet is a concern and he’s far too short for value.
In Her Time ($11) – BET NOW
Won on Everest Day last year when taking out the Sydney Stakes but her popularity has taken a hit since then.
Now with Kris Lees, following the Ben Smith saga, the six-year-old finished third in the Premiere Stakes and although she loomed to win, her condition gave out over the concluding stages.
She’s a two-time winner second up and although her best form comes on good tracks, she’s not the worst here with luck in running.
Shoals ($7.50) – BET NOW
Comes into calculations with a quality placing in the Premiere Stakes when the four-year-old mare was flying home over the concluding stages.
Her entire preparation has been targeted around The Everest and although she’s not ideally weighted at 56.5kg, her confidence is up and she’s a four-time winner at this distance.
She rarely runs a bad race and her form at Randwick (3: 2-1-0) should be respected.
Viddora ($15) – BET NOW
Deserves her spot in the field after winning the Moir Stakes at Moonee Valley last time out.
The six-year-old has now won $2.4 million in an underrated career and although she hasn’t taken on a field quite a complete as the one she faces here, she deserves respect.
It would be a big training effort to score but don’t discount her chances.
Graff ($17) – BET NOW
We’re not sure if age-group form is the best form guide for The Everest but the colt gets in with 53kg on the back and that helps.
He has a placing in the Run to the Rose on a heavy track and he didn’t have much luck during that run. That bodes well for this and he could attract attention at the odds.
Clearly Innocent ($61) – BET NOW
Probably shouldn’t be running at this level after running last in the George Ryder and subsequently running last in a trial at Newcastle.
His form has been off for awhile now and a first three run would be a big surprise.
Dothraki ($126) – BET NOW
Scored a nice win in the Bobbie Lewis at Flemington but was unable to back that up in the Gilgai Stakes last start.
Nice type on his day but this is a step too far.
Jungle Edge ($51) – BET NOW
Might be a $51 chance but the conditions bring him right into the race. He’s a 14-time winner on rain-affected ground and we wouldn’t overlook that statistic.
His recent form has been below par but if there’s going to be a shock result, it could come from him.
Pierata ($31) – BET NOW
Looked good last campaign but he hasn’t quite hit the line this time in. His effort fresh was solid but he didn’t feature in the Epsom Handicap.
Dropping back in distance won’t help and he shouldn’t be winning this.
Osborne Bulls ($17) – BET NOW
Gets into the race on the scratching of its stablemate. Only fair at Caulfield last start but there’s no denying his ability on any given day.
He has the ability to sit at the back of the field and hit the line with purpose. He could storm home but this is a testing race so place odds seem best.
Spright ($61) – BET NOW
No form on wet tracks and although she looked good running third in the Moir Stakes last start, she would need to improve a few lengths here.