NBL Round 1 Expert Tips & Predictions

The NBL tips off in Round 1 with five games, kicking off with Melbourne United vs Tasmania JackJumpers on Thursday night.

We have NBL betting tips for every game in 2024, including this weeks’ featured games between the Wildcats vs Phoenix and 36ers vs Kings.

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NBL Round 1 Predictions

Thursday 19/9/24

8:30pm Melbourne United vs Tasmania JackJumpers @ RAC Aren

United and JackJumpers kick off their season at RAC Arena in Perth, and it’s Melbourne expected to win the opening game of the year.

Packed with quality players, punters should be confident with United, who are one of the NBL Championship favourites at $6.50.

Expectations aren’t as high for the JackJumpers, who played well last year, but this could be a tough opening game for them.

Back United to lead the NBL competition.

Betting tip: Melbourne United –5.5 @ $1.91

United by 8

Friday 20/9/24

8:30pm Perth Wildcats vs South East Melbourne Phoenix @ RAC Arena

Playing the early-season tournament at home is a massive bonus for the Perth Wildcats, and we thought they would be shorter with NBL odds.

They are $1.43 favourites, and we priced them around $1.32, so there is value with head-to-head markets against a Phoenix team we’re expecting to struggle.

Our hopes aren’t high for the Phoenix, who were close to awful last year, and we don’t see much changing this time around.

Facing Bryce Cotton in the first game isn’t easy, so take the Wildcats to cover the spread with ease.

Betting tip: Perth Wildcats –5.5 @ $1.91

Wildcats by 10

Saturday 21/9/24

6:00pm New Zealand Breakers vs Brisbane Bullets @ HBF Stadium

The Breakers are firm $1.48 favourites to beat the Brisbane Bullets, and although we’re backing the Breakers to win and cover, we didn’t expect so much better support.

There has been no money for the Bullets in 2024, which is concerning, and the Breakers have attracted attention at value odds with NBL Championship odds.

Parker Jackson-Cartwright is the key player for the Breakers, and adding the experience and call of Mitch McCarron helps their chances.

Covering a –4.5 spread is well within their wheelhouse, and we’re backing the team that has to travel the furthest in the opening round.

Betting tip: New Zealand Breakers –4.5 @ $1.91

Breakers by 6

8:30pm Cairns Taipans vs Illawarra Hawks @ HBF Stadium

Most of the early money has come for the Hawks at the neutral venue, and we’re not surprised by the betting support.

The Hawks are always well-backed in early-season markets, and they have a team good enough to make an early impression.

Conversely, the Taipans are often slow starters before finding their groove later in the year, so we expect the Hawks to come out strong and put the Taipans to the test.

We’re backing another favourite to cover the spread, but it could be a week for the well-favoured teams. They are ready to fire, and the Hawks are a team that hit the ground running.

Betting tip: Illawarra Hawks –5.5 @ $1.91

Hawks by 8

Sunday 22/9/24

2:30pm Adelaide 36ers vs Sydney Kings @ RAC Arena

The Sydney Kings have been hammered in betting at $1.30, and the preseason tournament favourites are expected to be too strong.

The 36ers have a solid lineup, but they might need a few weeks to find their groove, as they have a lot of players who haven’t played together before.

Therefore, with a strong team packed with talent and experience, we can’t look past the Kings putting up a big number.

The current NBL points spread line is 7.5, which isn’t easy to cover, but we’re picking the favourites to go 5-0 in Round 1.

Betting tip: Sydney Kings –7.5 @ $1.91

Kings by 12

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Daryl Curnow

About Daryl Curnow

After graduating from the University of Auckland (BA - English), Daryl was thrown into the world of sports and horse racing journalism. Having worked as a racing journalist for two years, he decided to move into the online world of horse racing and sports writing. After years of honing his craft, Daryl became a professional punter in 2009 - with a focus on horse racing, NRL, AFL, NBA, Rugby, NFL, and US college sports. Daryl's tips have been featured on various websites around the world before joining the GoBet team. When he's not working, Daryl tries to avoid making bogeys on the golf course.

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