NBL Round 11 Expert Tips & Predictions

The NBL continues in Round 11 with eight games, tipping off with Breakers vs United blockbuster on Thursday night in Christchurch.

We have NBL betting tips for every game in 2024, including this weeks’ featured games between the Bullets vs 36ers, Wildcats vs Hawks, and Breakers vs Kings.

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NBL Round 11 Predictions

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Thursday 5/12/24

5:30pm New Zealand Breakers vs Melbourne United @ Wolfbrook Arena

We were disappointed with the Breakers last week, losing both games, and allowing Bryce Cotton to score 59 points when playing Perth.

It was a poor performance and we don’t see their form turning around against United on Thursday night in New Zealand.

Punters get $1.60 for United to win their fifth consecutive game, and those odds are too good to pass up for the better team, who has done well against the Breakers in the last few years.

Betting tip: Melbourne United @ $1.60

United by 5

7:30pm Tasmania JackJumpers vs Cairns Taipans @ MyState Bank Arena

The Taipans have become the easiest team to beat in the NBL after continuing their terrible losing streak last week.

Looking to capitalise are the JackJumpers, who have won their last three games, and they’re back in NBL title contention.

Taking a –6.5 line isn’t easy but the Taipans have no heart and they’re likely to suffer another one-sided loss.

Betting tip: Tasmania JackJumpers –6.5 @ $1.90

JackJumpers by 10

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Friday 6/12/24

7:30pm Brisbane Bullets vs Adelaide 36ers @ Brisbane Entertainment Centre

We’re not surprised to see the Bullets at $1.40 to beat the suddenly-struggling 36ers, who have lost their last two games.

Losing Montrez Harrell to suspension was the worst thing to happen to Adelaide, and we’re picking the Bullets to take advantage on Friday night.

Most of the money has come for them to cover the –5.5 spread, so jump on the line before it moves.

Betting tip: Brisbane Bullets –5.5 @ $1.88

Bullets by 8

9:30pm Perth Wildcats vs Illawarra Hawks @ RAC Arena

There isn’t much between the Wildcats and Hawks in betting markets, and with good reason as we expect a tight contest at RAC Arena.

Boasting three wins from their last four games and with Cotton playing expertly, the Wildcats are tough to look past, and playing at home always helps them.

Illawarra is a streaky team, but we’re taking the Wildcats to hold down the fort at home.

Betting tip: Perth Wildcats @ $1.71

Wildcats by 4

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Saturday 7/12/24

5:30pm New Zealand Breakers vs Sydney Kings @ TSB Arena

Pressure is on the Breakers to win, and although we’re backing against them on Thursday, we’re happy to take them against the Kings.

The Kings have two losses from their last three games, so they’re not playing with much confidence either, and winning at TSB Arena isn’t easy.

Take the $2.04 for the Breakers and hope they’re anywhere near their best.

Betting tip: New Zealand Breakers @ $2.04

Breakers by 3

8:00pm S.E. Melbourne Phoenix vs Cairns Taipans @ John Cain Arena

It’s another tough game for the Taipans, who we’re are staying well away from in Round 11.

The Phoenix has been trading wins with losses over the last few weeks, but they looked good winning their most recent game.

All things being equal, the Phoenix should put up a big score on the hapless Taipans.

Betting tip: S.E. Melbourne Phoenix –6.5 @ $1.90

Phoenix by 9

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Sunday 8/12/24

2:30pm Melbourne United vs Brisbane Bullets @ John Cain Arena

The Bullets could give United something to worry about on Sunday, so we’re backing the outsiders with the points.

They have been playing well enough to cover the +7.5 spread, which is a sizable start for a team with a handy record like Brisbane.

United is a better team but the Bullets could fire a shot and keep it close.

Betting tip: Brisbane Bullets +7.5 @ $1.90

United by 5

4:30pm Adelaide 36ers vs Perth Wildcats @ Adelaide Entertainment Centre

Punters get $1.79 for the Wildcats to beat Adelaide, and given the 36ers’ recent struggles, we’re taking that price.

With Cotton playing better than most players in the NBL, the MVP candidate could lead his team to another victory.

Take the generous odds available with bookmakers.

Betting tip: Perth Wildcats @ $1.79

Wildcats by 5

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