Super Rugby Round 3 features five games, including Moana Pasifika vs Highlanders to start the week on Friday.
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Super Rugby Round 3 Tips
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Friday 28/2/25
5:05pm Moana Pasifika vs Highlanders @ North Harbour Stadium
Moana Pasifika didn’t fire defensively against the Reds last week, losing 56-36 as a +15.5 underdog. They have another tough ask against the rejuvenated Highlanders.
The Highlanders scored a 29-21 win over the Blues in Round 2, which was an excellent victory, and playing at North Harbour Stadium won’t do their chances any harm.
Bookmakers have the Highlanders at –8.5, and we’re backing them to win by low double digits.
Betting tip: Highlanders –8.5 @ $1.90
Highlanders by 10
7:35pm Waratahs vs Fijian Drua @ Allianz Stadium
The Waratahs enjoyed a week off in Round 2 following a last-gasp win over the Highlanders in their opening game. The bye didn’t come at an ideal time, as they now face a physical Fijian Drua outfit.
The Drua lost 38-34 to the Hurricanes last week following a 36-32 loss in the opening week to the Brumbies. Being 0-2 is a touch unlucky, and we don’t rate the Waratahs on the same level as the Hurricanes and Brumbies.
There is good value with the Drua at $3.70, but for safety, take the +9.5 line.
Betting tip: Fijian Drua +9.5 @ $1.90
Drua by 3
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Saturday 1/3/25
2:35pm Chiefs vs Brumbies @ FMG Stadium
It was a close game at halftime for the Chiefs against the Crusaders last week, but the second half was one-way traffic for the Chiefs.
They turned on the jets in the second half to pull away from the Crusaders, and that form bodes well against the Brumbies, who are $5.50 underdogs. That’s a big price for the visitors, who lost to the Force 45-42 last week.
We fancy the Chiefs to run up another big score and separate themselves from the rest of the New Zealand teams.
Betting tip: Chiefs –14.5 @ $1.90
Chiefs by 20
5:05pm Hurricanes vs Blues @ Wellington Regional Stadium
Pressure is on the Hurricanes and Blues to keep up with inconsistent starts to the year, but there is more pressure on the Blues at 0-2.
They lost to the Chiefs and Highlanders, with last week’s performance not being a good effort. That’s a concerning sign for the $1.56 favourite, especially playing on the road.
There is better value with the Hurricanes at $2.33. They narrowly defeated the Drua last week, but it was still a win and they should be confident on being good enough to handle the winless Blues.
Betting tip: Hurricanes @ $2.33
Hurricanes by 5
7:35pm Force vs Reds @ HBF Park
The Force did well to beat the Brumbies on the road last week, and that will give them some confidence moving forward. However, the Reds scored 56 points against Moana Pasifika, and that should also give them confidence.
We’re not surprised to see the Reds at $1.31. They are the better team and the Force don’t often play well in consecutive weeks. Winning on the road isn’t easy, but the Reds have attacking players who could run up a big score.
It will be a high-scoring contest, so lock in the Reds –8.5.
Betting tip: Reds –8.5 @ $1.90
Reds by 13