The Super Rugby playoffs are here, and punters get two semifinal games to enjoy this week, kicking off with Crusaders vs Blues on Friday night.
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Super Rugby Semi Finals Tips
Friday 6/6/25
The Blues pulled off a big upset over the Chiefs last week and their reward is playing the Crusaders in Christchurch. It doesn’t seem like much of a reward considering the Chiefs now play the Brumbies at home, but that’s the format of Super Rugby.
It was a good victory for the Blues, who scored late in the game to secure the win. However, we were more impressed by the Crusaders, who put the Reds to the sword when winning 32-12 in dominant fashion at home.
Beating the Crusaders at home is never easy, and they have a good record over the defending champions. That’s tough to overlook, and although most of the money has come for the Blues to produce another upset, we’re going with the team that was much better throughout the regular season.
It’s not often you see the Crusaders lose an important semifinal game, and although they started slowly in 2025, they have picked things up and are peaking at the right time. We’re taking the –6.5 line, as we expect them to win by at least a converted try.
Crusaders by 10
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Saturday 14/6/25
We don’t often back Australian teams to cover the spread against a Kiwi team, but we’re prepared to give the Brumbies a chance on Saturday night.
They looked good when beating the Hurricanes 35-28 last week, and if it was the Hurricanes playing this game, we don’t think the line would be +12.5. There is always a lack of respect for teams like the Brumbies, but they’re good enough to keep it close.
The Blues showed last week that the Chiefs anything but a finished product, so they will be doubting themselves. We certainly wouldn’t suggest taking the Chiefs to win outright at $1.14, which is far too skinny.
They might have been the best team during the regular season, but winning in the playoffs is a different kettle of fish. We believe the Brumbies will feel better about themselves heading to Hamilton, and that’s why most of the early money has come for them.
A tight Super Rugby playoff game is expected, and it could be decided in the final 10 minutes. The Brumbies could stay in the hunt with penalty kicks, and although the Chiefs are an attacking team, the Brumbies cover the spread with solid defence.
Chiefs by 7
