AFL Grand Final Expert Tips & Predictions

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AFL Grand Final Expert Tips & Predictions

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The AFL Grand Final is upon us as the Collingwood Magpies and Brisbane Lions compete for the season-long prize.

Collingwood has been at the top for most of the year and it’s the worthy favourite. However, Brisbane has attracted plenty of attention at the sportsbook.

It’s going to be a cracking AFL Grand Final at the MCG on Saturday, and we have our best Collingwood vs Brisbane betting picks.


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AFL Grand Final Tips

Collingwood Magpies vs. Brisbane Lions AFL Grand Final Prediction

Leading from the front is what it’s about for the Magpies. They have been the best team throughout the year, and they would love to cap it off with a win on Saturday.

They might have only narrowly defeated the GWS Giants 58-57 last week, but it was a gutsy effort, and that’s what we wanted to see before the final.

Scoring an easy win wouldn’t have helped the Magpies, who have had to dig deep most of the year. Therefore, they are well-positioned to beat Brisbane, hence the $1.75 odds with bookmakers.

We think Collingwood deserves to be favourites, but Brisbane looked good when beating Carlton last week. The 79-63 effort didn’t look likely after the first quarter, but it bounced back to set up a sizable lead.

There is a sense of purpose about the Lions, but let’s not forget where the final is played. Playing at the MCG makes winning much harder on the Lions, and we would want bigger odds than $2.10 for the underdogs.

We respect the talents of Joe Daniher, Charlie Cameron, and Lachie Neale, but we think there is better value with Collingwood.

We expect Nick Daicos to have a big game. The youngster had an amazing season, and he’ll look to shine on the biggest stage of all.

There is more star quality with the Magpies, and we think they will get the job done.

Betting tip: Collingwood @ $1.75

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AFL Grand Final Same Game Multi

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Collingwood at $1.75 goes into our selections, and we also think it will be a tense and low scoring battle.

The total points line is 164.5, which is higher than we expected. Both teams can score big totals, but finals are usually tense, so it could be a defensive battle.

We envision an 80-70 scoreline, so we are confident enough to include the under total match points in our same game multi.

There is always good value in goal scorer markets and we’re picking Jamie Elliott to score two or more goals for Collingwood. He’s looking to bounce back after going scoreless last week, but his form prior included 10 goals from four games.

View our betr SGM here!

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AFL Grand Final Exotic Tips

We love the value with Norm Smith Medal markets, and we’re picking Daicos to win.

He’s all the rage with Brownlow Medal markets, and win or lose, he should have a big Grand Final showing on Saturday night.

Punters get $4 for Daicos to be the best on the field to win the Norm Smith Medal, and those odds are worth entertaining. He might lack experience compared to the likes of Neale and Scott Pendlebury, but he’s a star player who wants to have an impact in the biggest game of the year.

We also like Jamie Elliott to score the first goal. He will want to make a big impact on the game early, and $10.50 is too good to pass up.

Betting on first goal scorer markets comes with risk, but it also comes with generous odds. Take Elliott, and also take a saver bet on Brody Mihocek at the same price. Backing both isn’t a bad strategy given the double-figure odds.

For a bit of value, take Pendlebury to have 25 or more disposals. Punters get $2.25 for him to be a major factor in the Magpies getting go-forward ball, so he’s worth including in your AFL Grand Final selections.

Bet: Jamie Elliott to score first @ $10.50

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🤑 Who should you bet with for the AFL Grand Final?

💰 What is the best bet for the AFL Grand Final?

📺 How can I watch the AFL Grand Final?

🏉 What are the best exotic bets for the AFL Grand Final?

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About Daryl Curnow

After graduating from the University of Auckland (BA - English), Daryl was thrown into the world of sports and horse racing journalism. Having worked as a racing journalist for two years, he decided to move into the online world of horse racing and sports writing. After years of honing his craft, Daryl became a professional punter in 2009 - with a focus on horse racing, NRL, AFL, NBA, Rugby, NFL, and US college sports. Daryl's tips have been featured on various websites around the world before joining the GoBet team. When he's not working, Daryl tries to avoid making bogeys on the golf course.