We have expert betting tips for AFL Finals Week Two, which features the Geelong Cats vs GWS Giants and Brisbane Lions vs Western Bulldogs.
It’s sudden death football, and although the bookmakers expect the two top four teams to win, both games should be exciting contests.
Action starts on Friday with the Cats vs Giants and concludes on Saturday with the Lions vs Bulldogs. The winners progress to face the Demons and Power in the qualifying finals.
We have done the form to find the best value bets available for the opening round of playoff games.
AFL Finals Week 2 Tips
Geelong Cats vs GWS Giants @ Optus Stadium
We couldn’t have been more disappointed with the Geelong Cats against the Port Adelaide Power last week. Granted, Port played an incredible game, but there wasn’t much respite from the Cats.
Scoring only 43 points on 5.13 isn’t going to cut it, even against GWS, who gripped on for the win against the Sydney Swans. The Giants should come out of that thriller with confidence, despite the nerves being tested late.
Overall, Geelong is the better team, but it’s about what team is peaking at the right time. We think the Giants are the team heading into the right direction, so bookmakers are offering value odds on Friday night.
The current line is +14.5 for the Giants, and the head-to-head line is $2.90. We wouldn’t overlook those odds, especially with Geelong’s confidence being down after the 43-point loss.
Look for Toby Greene to have another big scoring performance after kicking three goals against Sydney. Greene, alongside Harry Himmelberg and Jesse Hogan, were putting in work and a similar performance takes them close.
Containing Tom Hawkins won’t be easy, but we like the look of the Giants and we’re prepared to take the value available.
Betting tip: GWS Giants +14.5 @ $1.90 – Bet @ Sportsbet
Giants by 4
Brisbane Lions vs Western Bulldogs @ Gabba
The Brisbane Lions were well-handled by the Melbourne Demons last week and we’re not sure what to make of the performance.
It wasn’t a completely one-sided game, but we’ll need to see more of a defensive effort from the Lions against the Bulldogs on Saturday.
The Western Bulldogs were all over the Essendon Bombers in the second half, as they turned a three-point halftime lead into a 49-point fulltime win.
Bulldogs’ fans will be happy with that they saw from the likes of Cody Weightman, Aaron Naughton and Mitchan Hannan. However, the Bombers didn’t pose much of a threat on the ground, scoring just four goals.
Punters should expect a much harder test against the Brisbane Lions this week, who are the $1.66 favourites with bookmakers. The Lions have been the more consistent type throughout the season, and we saw enough from them to suggest they can make the preliminary finals.
Playing at The Gabba is a huge boost and punters get a fair betting line at $1.66. We expect those odds to firm to around $1.55 on game day, so take the value available.
For a little more value, we’re confident the Lions will win 1-39, which pays $2.20. It’s more risk, but it should be a tight game throughout before the Lions pull away in the final quarter.
Betting tip: Brisbane Lions to win @ $1.66 – Bet @ Sportsbet
Lions by 10
🤑 Who should you bet with for AFL Finals Week 2?
💰 What is the best bet for AFL Finals Week 2?
To find out our best bets for AFL Finals Week 2, read our full AFL Finals Week 2 preview and betting tips!
📺 How can I watch AFL Finals Week 2?
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🏉 What is the fixture for AFL Finals Week 2?
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After graduating from the University of Auckland (BA – English), Daryl was thrown into the world of sports and horse racing journalism.
Having worked as a racing journalist for two years, he decided to move into the online world of horse racing and sports writing. After years of honing his craft, Daryl became a professional punter in 2009 – with a focus on horse racing, NRL, AFL, NBA, Rugby, NFL, and US college sports. Daryl’s tips have been featured on various websites around the world before joining the GoBet team. When he’s not working, Daryl tries to avoid making bogeys on the golf course.