Week 2 – the Semi-Finals – of the 2018 AFL Finals is here and it’s do or die for the four teams involved.
The four winning teams; Richmond, Melbourne, GWS, and West Coast, all put in strong performances. Collingwood will be disappointed with the result against West Coast, but they put in a good performance and will be much happier back at home this week against the Giants.
Melbourne and GWS were both far too good for their opposition and will be heading into this weeks semi finals with a lot of confidence.
Please note: these are our early picks prior to team announcements. We may change out tips based on team selections so please check back on Thursday night.
7:50pm Hawthorn Hawks vs. Melbourne Demons @ MCG
Hawthorn went down to Richmond by 31 points at the MCG last Thursday night but they didn’t play their best football.
The Hawks will not find things any easier this week coming up against a ferocious Demons outfit and they will need to match them physically from the opening bounce.
Ball magnet and Brownlow Medal favourite, Tom Mitchell, was at his usual best and gathered 38 possessions and kicked a goal. The Hawks should expect a much closer match up on him this week and will be looking for more output from their supporting midfielders.
The Demons were outstanding in their 29-point win over Geelong with the final margin being extremely flattering to the Cats.
Melbourne are playing a high-pressure, tough, contested style of football that is good enough to match it with the best and it reminds us of the way the Bulldogs played when they won the Premiership in 2016. Could we see another football fairytale in 2018?
If Melbourne can bring the same level of intensity they had last week, they will beat the Hawks.
We think this game will be a close one, but the relentless Melbourne team should be too much for the Hawks in a close one.
Melbourne 1-39 @ $2.10 (BET NOW)
Total game points under 164.5 @ $1.90 (BET NOW)
First goal scorer – Jake Melksham @ $10 (BET NOW)
Melbourne by 16
7:25pm Collingwood Magpies v GWS Giants @ MCG
Collingwood put in a brave performance last Saturday evening in Perth but went down to the Eagles by 16 points, after the Eagles managed to kick the last three goals of the game. Taylor Adams and Brodie Grundy were at their best but they will be looking for better performances from some of their other star players this week.
It was a huge effort in the West and they are back home at the MCG this week to take on the Giants who embarrassed the Swans on Saturday afternoon.
Toby Greene was brilliant in his first game back from injury and Phil Davis completely shut down Buddy Franklin.
However, it wasn’t all good news for the Giants with superstar midfielder, Josh Kelly, suffering a torn meniscus and is in doubt for the semi final. The GWS medical staff will be hoping they can get him up to play and delay surgery until after the season, depending on the pain and severity of the injury.
This is a tough game to pick and we will be watching the GWS team announcements closely on Thursday night. Josh Kelly is a big watch for us, and even if he plays, can we expect him to be at his best?
The Pies have had a great season and we expect they will get the job done in an absolute classic against the Giants.
Collingwood 1-39 @ $2.20 (BET NOW)
Total game points over 154.5 @1.90 (BET NOW)
First goal scorer – Toby Greene @ $11 (BET NOW)
Collingwood by 10
2018 AFL Semi Finals multi bet:
We are going with two small multis this week – a 1-39 multi and a first goal scorer multi:
Melbourne 1-39 @ $2.10
Collingwood 1-39 @ $2.20
Total odds: $4.62 (BET NOW)
First goal scorer – Jake Melksham @ $10
First goal scorer – Toby Greene @ $11
Total odds: $110 (BET NOW)