AFL Round 4 Expert Tips & Predictions

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AFL Round 4 Expert Tips & Predictions

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We’ve got expert AFL tips for every game in 2023, including the AFL Round 4 action this week.

There are some huge games this week, including Brisbane vs Collingwood, Richmond vs Western Bulldogs, and Sydney vs Port Adelaide.

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AFL Round 4 Tips

Thursday 6/4/23

7:35pm Brisbane Lions vs Collingwood Magpies @ Gabba

We weren’t impressed by the Lions performance last week when beaten as the –14.5 favourites. We expect the Magpies to pounce on them on Thursday, which makes the $1.84 head-to-head price attractive.

Collingwood has been impressive following a win over Richmond, so we’re happy to have it on our tickets for the opening game of the round.

Betting tip: Collingwood Magpies @ $1.84

Collingwood by 6


Brisbane Lions vs Collingwood – betr Same Game Multi

We’ve teamed up with betr to provide the GoBet Multi for the first game of every round of the 2023 AFL season.

Collingwood’s current odds could firm, so we’re including the Magpies to win – we think it will be a close game, so we’ll take Collingwood 1-39 as an excellent value same game multi inclusion. It could come down to the final quarter, so it should be a safe bet. We are expecting a tough, contested game of football so we’ll also include unders in the total match points market. Jamie Elliott is our player to watch, and although scoring just 1.3 goals per game, we like him to score two or more goals on Thursday.

View our betr SGM here!

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Friday 7/4/23

4:20pm North Melbourne Kangaroos vs Carlton Blues @ Marvel Stadium

Just when you think it’s safe to bet on the Kangaroos, they come out with a poor loss to the Hawthorn Hawks.

Therefore, we’re not backing them to beat Carlton, or even keep it close on Easter Friday. They are likely to struggle, so punters should expect the Blues to come away with an easy victory.

Take the –22.5 line before it moves throughout the week.

Betting tip: Carlton Blues –22.5 @ $1.90

Carlton by 30

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Saturday 8/4/23

1:45pm Adelaide Crows vs Fremantle Dockers @ Adelaide Oval

The Crows scored an upset win over Port Adelaide last week, but despite being favoured to win here, we’re picking Fremantle to win.

We believe the Dockers have much more upside, and they were strong when beating the West Coast Eagles 108-67 last week.

Getting $2.02 for Fremantle is a steal.

Betting tip: Fremantle Dockers @ $2.02

Fremantle by 10

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4:35pm Richmond Tigers vs Western Bulldogs @ MCG

Despite some poor games at times so far this year, we’re picking the Tigers to beat the Bulldogs on Saturday.

They need to rebound from a poor 63-49 loss to the Magpies, but the quality of opposition is much easier against the Bulldogs, despite the Dogs coming off a win over the Lions.

Bookmakers have the line at –13.5, which tells punters all they need to know.

Betting tip: Richmond Tigers –13.5 @ $1.90

Tigers by 17

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7:30pm St Kilda Saints vs Gold Coast Suns @ MCG

The Suns pulled off an almighty upset last week when beating the Cats 73-54, but we can’t see lightning striking twice.

It was a big effort, but the Saints also looked good beating Essendon, and we expect them to roll on with another victory.

Given they have home field advantage, we’re happy to take the Saints –16.5.

Betting tip: St Kilda Saints –16.5 @ $1.90

Saints by 22

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7:30pm Sydney Swans vs Port Adelaide Power @ SCG

Port were bitterly disappointing last week, so we’re taking the Sydney Swans to add more hurt.

The Swans were equally disappointing when losing 134-84 to Melbourne, but they’re better at bouncing back with a victory.

If Sydney wants to be a force in 2023, it needs to produce big performances against teams like Port Adelaide.

Betting tip: Sydney Swans –19.5 @ $1.90

Swans by 26

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Sunday 9/4/23

2:10pm Essendon Bombers vs GWS Giants @ Marvel Stadium

Essendon was beaten but not disgraced last week, so we’re picking it to bounce back against the Giants.

The Bombers are the current $1.54 favourites to win, which is based off their previous success in the early rounds. They are a quality team on their day, and we like them playing on Easter weekend.

The Giants were solid in defeat last week as well, but this has an Essendon win written all over it.

Betting tip: Essendon Bombers –10.5 @ $1.90

Essendon by 14

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5:20pm West Coast Eagles vs Melbourne Demons @ Optus Stadium

Melbourne was terrific last week and we see that being followed up against the West Coast Eagles.

Punters will have to take a massive line of 40.5 for the Demons, but the Eagles haven’t taken flight in 2023, so it should be a one-sided contest.

Include Melbourne in your AFL Round 4 multis.

Betting tip: Melbourne Demons –40.5 @ $1.90

Melbourne by 60

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Monday 10/4/23

3:20pm Geelong Cats vs Hawthorn Hawks @ MCG

The Cats were shocked last week, but punters should expect them to bounce back with an easy win on Easter Monday.

They will have plenty of pressure on them, and the Hawks have been playing OK of late. However, they need a big showing and we believe in them.

Take the Cats –32.5 before they line moves.

Betting tip: Geelong Cats –32.5 @ $1.90

Geelong by 42

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🤑 Who should you bet with for AFL Round 4?

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📺 How can I watch Round 4 of the AFL season?

🏉 What is the fixture for AFL Round 4?

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About Daryl Curnow

After graduating from the University of Auckland (BA - English), Daryl was thrown into the world of sports and horse racing journalism. Having worked as a racing journalist for two years, he decided to move into the online world of horse racing and sports writing. After years of honing his craft, Daryl became a professional punter in 2009 - with a focus on horse racing, NRL, AFL, NBA, Rugby, NFL, and US college sports. Daryl's tips have been featured on various websites around the world before joining the GoBet team. When he's not working, Daryl tries to avoid making bogeys on the golf course.