There’s another nine AFL games to bet on this week and we have free tips for them all.
Round 3 was an exciting affair which established some teams as premiership contenders but there are worrying signs for some of the tournament favourites.
Bookmakers have a lot of one-sided markets this week but there’s some good value to be snapped up in Round 4 of the AFL.
7:50pm Adelaide vs. Collingwood @ Adelaide Oval
Adelaide stormed back into premiership contention with a stunning 104-55 win over St Kilda last week.
Collingwood also saved face by beating Carlton 100-76 and both teams will be looking to show some consistency this week.
Bookmakers are giving the distinct advantage to the home side and we’re predicting the Crows to come out firing, but can the Magpies make a game of it?
That won’t be easy to do and this should be a comfortable win for the home side.
Betting tip: Adelaide –32.5 @ $1.90 (BET NOW)
Adelaide by 40
1:45pm GWS vs. Fremantle @ UNSW Canberra Oval
GWS might have lost last week to Sydney but they scored 12 goals and didn’t look all too bad.
Having started the season in good form, the Giants will be looking to rebound against Fremantle, which scored a 96-68 win over the Suns last week.
That was a good performance although bookmakers are giving them no respect in the market at $5.25.
Despite identical records this year, the better side is clearly GWS and they should roll at home in this situation.
Betting tip: GWS -36.5 @ $1.90 (BET NOW)
GWS by 45
2:10pm Richmond vs. Brisbane @ MCG
Richmond looked like the Tigers of old last week when beating the Hawks 102-89.
After showing some inconsistencies this season, it was good to see Richmond produce the full package and it’s only going to get easier this week.
Facing Brisbane, which have yet to win a game this season, isn’t going to be hard and it’s no wonder the bookmakers have Richmond at $1.06 in the market.
That’s the shortest odds of the week and the spread could be covered by half time.
Betting tip: Richmond –43.5 @ $1.90 (BET NOW)
Richmond by 60
4:35pm Western Bulldogs vs. Sydney @ Etihad Stadium
The Western Bulldogs notched their first win of the season last week when upsetting the Essendon Bombers 104-83.
The 14-goal effort was a good sign of things to come for the Bulldogs, which didn’t look great to start the season.
They’re about to face a side which dispatched the Giants last week and that could spell trouble for the home side this week.
Sydney produced a good effort to win 103-87 last week and anything close to that performance sees them winning again.
This should be a close contest but it should go in Sydney’s favour.
Betting tip: Sydney –13.5 @ $1.90 (BET NOW)
Sydney by 20
7:25pm North Melbourne vs. Carlton @ Blundstone Arena
North Melbourne is looking to rebound after being easily defeated by their cross-town rivals Melbourne last week.
They had looked good to start the season and sitting at one win and two losses makes this awkward to start the season.
Facing Carlton should make life easier as they’re currently 0-3 and have given up 322 points across three games this season.
Bookmakers have this game closer than we would have thought with North Melbourne at $1.61, but that’s better value for punters and we’ll take it.
Betting tip: North Melbourne to win @ $1.61 (BET NOW)
North Melbourne by 18
8:10pm West Coast vs. Gold Coast @ Optus Stadium
The Eagles did enough to beat Geelong last week and they will look to build on that momentum.
The Suns, on the other hand, looked great to start the season 2-0 but didn’t look impressive when losing to Fremantle last week and that loss will stick in the minds of punters.
Always tough to beat at home, the Eagles will be looking to establish some early-season dominance this year and that could spell trouble for the Suns.
The 36.5 point spread line is a tough one to predict but we’re leaning towards the home side.
Betting tip: West Coast –36.5 @ $1.90 (BET NOW)
West Coast by 40
1:10pm Essendon vs. Port Adelaide @ Etihad Stadium
The season couldn’t have started any better for Essendon but the wheels are in danger of falling off.
Losing to the Western Bulldogs last week was a bad loss for this talented team and it’s not about to get any easier as they face the unbeaten Power.
Port Adelaide did enough to beat the Brisbane Lions by five points last week and it took their confidence levels down a notch after posting two easy wins to start the season.
This is a pivotal game for both sides and given that the Bombers are home underdogs, we’ll take the value on offer.
Betting tip: Essendon to win @ $2.08 (BET NOW)
Essendon by 10
3:20pm Hawthorn vs. Melbourne @ MCG
The Hawks didn’t look too bad against Richmond last week and despite losing, there were some positive things to take out of the loss.
Melbourne comes into this game after posting a dominating 123-86 win over North Melbourne last week and they’re a team which could contend in the playoffs this season.
Punters need to respect the ability of the Hawks’ star players despite what bookmakers think, but we have to agree with the odds setters.
Melbourne looked sharp last week and we’re expecting that roll to continue.
Betting tip: Melbourne to win @ $1.70 (BET NOW)
Melbourne by 20
4:40pm Geelong vs. St Kilda @ GMHBA Stadium
Losing Gary Abblet isn’t going to make life easy for the Cats, but they come up against a St Kilda team which is struggling.
Both teams are languishing down the bottom of the ladder and this game with be extremely important at the end of the season.
Despite their injury concerns, Geelong are expected to win this game and we’d have to agree.
The Cats have too much firepower for St Kilda, which could struggle to find any consistency this season.
Betting tip: Geelong to win @ $1.20 (BET NOW)
Geelong by 22