We have expert betting tips for AFL Round 4, which starts with Sydney Swans vs Essendon Bombers on Thursday, April 8.
Big margin victories were the flavour of Round 3, but we’re expecting much tighter contests this week.
Punters get value odds again in Round 4 and we preview every game to find the best bets.
AFL Round 4 Tips
7:20pm Sydney Swans vs Essendon Bombers @ SCG
The Sydney Swans produced an almighty performance to beat Richmond 117-72 last week and we’re not surprised by the bookmakers’ lines.
Sydney were miles too good for its opposition, despite being significant betting underdogs coming into the game.
The same can be said for Essendon, which put up 143 points on St Kilda. The 75-point win was a fantastic result for this team, but repeating that effort could be tough this week.
The margin is 25.5 points and we think Sydney could have that covered.
Betting tip: Sydney Swans –25.5 @ $1.90 – Bet @ Sportsbet
Swans by 32
7:50pm Port Adelaide Power vs Richmond Tigers @ Adelaide Oval
Both teams come off Round 3 losses and they were equally as bad. Port Adelaide were blown off the park by the West Coast Eagles, losing 108-71 and never looking like a chance.
Richmond suffered a 117-72 loss to the Sydney Swans and it will need to bounce back against a solid team this week.
We’re expecting a tight game but we give the edge to Richmond. The Tigers rarely lose two straight and the Power looked distinctly average last week.
Betting tip: Richmond Tigers to win @ $2.12 – Bet @ Sportsbet
Tigers by 18
1:35pm Western Bulldogs vs Brisbane Lions @ Mars Stadium
The Bulldogs couldn’t have been more impressive last week after scoring a 167-39 win over the hapless Kangaroos.
The 128-point margin was an incredible result and although the level of opposition increases significantly on Saturday, the Bulldogs will be confident.
Brisbane comes off a hard-fought 73-72 win over Collingwood. It was needed to avoid an 0-3 start, but they are good enough to kick on with it now.
Value is with the Lions, which are paying generous odds with bookmakers.
Betting tip: Brisbane Lions to win @ $2.45 – Bet @ Sportsbet
Lions by 8
4:35pm St Kilda Saints vs West Coast Eagles @ Marvel Stadium
West Coast put on a professional performance against Port Adelaide last week. They came out humming in the first quarter and never looked back.
The same can’t be said for the Saints, which struggled to get anything going against Essendon. The 75-point thrashing won’t do their confidence any good and we expect the Eagles to win again.
Punters get a fair line for West Coast and it should have no problems covering the 17.5-point line.
Betting tip: West Coast Eagles –17.5 @ $1.90 – Bet @ Sportsbet
Eagles by 30
7:25pm Gold Coast Suns vs Carlton Blues @ Metricon Stadium
Gold Coast had a good chance to beat Adelaide last week but they couldn’t take their chances in the second half.
Redemption could be on the cards against Carlton, which scored a professional victory against Fremantle. The 109-64 victory showed the potential of this team, but Gold Coast will be harder to beat.
There were plenty of positives to take from the loss in Adelaide and with the Suns paying $1.78 to win, there is value with the price.
Betting tip: Gold Coast Suns to win @ $1.78 – Bet @ Sportsbet
Suns by 12
7:40pm Collingwood Magpies vs GWS Giants @ MCG
Collingwood fought gamely last week but ultimately lost by a point to the Brisbane Lions. It was a heartbreaking loss, but we liked the way they played.
The same can’t be said for the Giants, who were outgunned by the Melbourne Demons. The 68-point performance wasn’t good enough as they allowed Melbourne to score at will.
A better offensive production is needed to beat Collingwood, but the Magpies should have too much firepower.
Betting tip: Collingwood Magpies –22.5 @ $1.90 – Bet @ Sportsbet
Magpies by 30
1:10pm North Melbourne Kangaroos vs Adelaide Crows @ Marvel Stadium
There is no team worse than North Melbourne in the AFL at the moment and the struggles should continue on Sunday.
The Kangaroos scored only 39 points against the Bulldogs last week and they gave up 167. That’s one of the worse performances we’ve ever seen, so Adelaide should take advantage.
Adelaide come off a tough 95-85 win over Gold Coast and heading to Marvel Stadium shouldn’t worry them.
Betting tip: Adelaide Crows –19.5 @ $1.90 – Bet @ Sportsbet
Crows by 40
3:20pm Melbourne Demons vs Geelong Cats @ MCG
Geelong has looked solid to date and punters are getting value odds against Melbourne on Sunday.
The Demons were too good for the GWS Giants in Round 3, but facing the Cats is another kettle of fish altogether.
We expect the Cats to improve as the season progresses and they should score a comfortable win. The $1.69 in the head-to-head lines is well worth taking.
Betting tip: Geelong Cats to win @ $1.69 – Bet @ Sportsbet
Cats by 18
4:40pm Fremantle Dockers vs Hawthorn Hawks @ Optus Stadium
Fremantle needs to bounce back after suffering a 45-point defeat at the hands of the Carlton Blues last week. It wasn’t a great performance and although they are favoured to beat Hawthorn, it won’t be easy.
Hawthorn has struggled this season but are they $3.05 underdogs against Fremantle? There is value in that price and we can’t pass up the 16.5 points
Take Hawthorn to keep it close.
Betting tip: Hawthorn Hawks +16.5 @ $1.90 – Bet @ Sportsbet
Hawks by 3
🤑 Who should you bet with for AFL Round 4?
💰 What is the best bet for AFL Round 4?
To find out our best bets for Round 4 of the AFL season, read our full round 4 preview and betting tips!
📺 How can I watch Round 4 of the AFL season?
For detailed information on how to watch and live stream Round 4 of the AFL season, read our guide on how to live stream AFL!
🏉 What is the fixture for AFL Round 4?
Read our AFL Round 4 preview and bettings tips to find out all of the fixtures and locations for the round!
After graduating from the University of Auckland (BA – English), Daryl was thrown into the world of sports and horse racing journalism.
Having worked as a racing journalist for two years, he decided to move into the online world of horse racing and sports writing. After years of honing his craft, Daryl became a professional punter in 2009 – with a focus on horse racing, NRL, AFL, NBA, Rugby, NFL, and US college sports. Daryl’s tips have been featured on various websites around the world before joining the GoBet team. When he’s not working, Daryl tries to avoid making bogeys on the golf course.