This article will be updated with 2018 AFL Preliminary Finals betting tips following the results of the Semi Finals and the finalisation of the Preliminary Finals fixture! Check back soon for all the betting action!
It’s hard to believe the preliminary finals have come around to determine who will face off for the 2017 Premiership.
Geelong and GWS made up for their week one finals losses in a big way and it looks like we have two genuine 50-50 matches this weekend.
On Friday night, we have Adelaide v Geelong at the Adelaide Oval and on Saturday evening we have Richmond v GWS at the MCG.
Two weeks ago we would’ve locked in Adelaide and Richmond for the Grand Final, but that’s no longer the case.
Read on to find out our tips for the 2017 AFL preliminary finals.
Please note: these are our early picks prior to team announcements on Thursday night. Please check back if there are any major selection shocks because they could change our tips.
19:50 Adelaide ($1.43) v Geelong ($2.85) @ Adelaide Oval
Geelong were brilliant in the demolition of Sydney last weekend with Chris Scott throwing a spanner in the works for the Swans by playing Dangerfield primarily deep forward.
It was a genius move with Dangerfield booting four first-half goals and dominating inside forward 50. This will no doubt play on the minds of the Crows this week – where will Dangerfield play?
Geelong looked gone after their disappointing loss to Richmond in the first week of finals, but they made amends and you would be silly not to think they are back to being genuine premiership contenders.
Adelaide have enjoyed the week off and their bodies will be fresh for the home preliminary final.
Rory Sloan will be a big inclusion this week but it looks like Mitch McGovern will miss with a hamstring injury. He’s been key for their forward structure this year and his loss will be felt.
This game will go down to the wire.
Considering how close we think this game will be, we are siding with the value pick in Geelong for this game and we’re still kicking ourselves for not taking the $3.30 on offer for them last week.
Big win/little win: Geelong 1-39 @ $3.50 (BET NOW)
Line: Geelong +17.5 @ $1.92 (BET NOW)
Total game points over 170.5 @ $1.90 (BET NOW)
First goal scorer – Patrick Dangerfield @ $13 (BET NOW)
Geelong by 6
16:45 Richmond ($1.58) v Greater Western Sydney ($2.40) @ MCG
What a big difference a week can make in football. We were totally off GWS after their hopeless loss in week one of the finals but they bounced back with a big win over West Coast.
Steve Johnson was back in the side and booted 6 goals – his most in a finals match. He is a big time player and GWS will need another big performance from him this week.
The funny thing is that GWS are in a preliminary final and I still don’t think we’ve seen them at their best. They still have upside.
With Cameron and Mumford out for the season, the smaller GWS side looked quick and mobile last week and it’s much different to the GWS side that Richmond beat in round 18.
Like Adelaide, the Tigers will be fresh and ready to go this week.
The Tigers will need another big performance from this year’s (soon-to-be) Brownlow Medalist, Dustin Martin, but he thrives on the big stage and we’re sure to see a few palm-offs and freaky skills on display.
95% (or more?) of the MCG crowd will be roaring for the Tigers and it’s something that could come into play late in a close game.
This will be another close game, but like the first match, we are siding with the value option here and going with GWS to cause the upset.
Big win/little win: GWS 1-39 @ $2.80 (BET NOW)
Line: GWS +9.5 @ $1.92 (BET NOW)
Total game points under 160.5 @ $1.90 (BET NOW)
First goal scorer – Steve Johnson @ $17 (BET NOW)
GWS by 3
2017 Finals – Preliminary Finals multi bets:
We are going with two small multis this week:
Geelong 1-39 @ $3.50
GWS 1-39 @ $2.80
Total odds: $9.80 (BET NOW)
First goal scorer – Patrick Dangerfield @ $13
First goal scorer – Steve Johnson @ $17
Total odds = $221 (BET NOW)