AFL Round 1 Expert Tips & Predictions

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AFL Round 1 Expert Tips & Predictions

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It’s footy season! We’re back with AFL tips for every game in 2023, including the season opener on Thursday between Richmond vs Carlton.

The teams are desperate to get their year off to a winning start, so Round 1 couldn’t be more important.

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AFL Round 1 Tips

Thursday 16/3/23

7:20pm Richmond Tigers vs Carlton Blues @ MCG

We have big expectations of Carlton, so we think they should beat Richmond in the opening game of the year.

They have a much-improved team over the last few years and have steadily built towards something great, which could result in a title.

Richmond is, as always, tough to beat. However, its star players might need time to warm into the season and Carlton backers get a generous $2.12.

Betting tip: Carlton Blues @ $2.12

Blues by 5


Richmond vs Carlton – betr Same Game Multi

We’ve teamed up with betr to provide the GoBet Multi for the first game of every round of the 2023 AFL season.

For round 1, our same game multi includes Carlton to win, the over in the points total, and Charlie Curnow to score two or more goals. We fancy the over because we expect both sides to come out humming offensively. It’s natural to think the opposite in the first game, but the points should flow. Curnow was outstanding last season, so we think he will get on the scorers’ sheet multiple times.

View our betr SGM here!

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Friday 17/3/23

7:40pm Geelong Cats vs Collingwood Magpies @ MCG

We have another massive game on Friday when the Cats and Magpies hit the MCG.

Geelong looks set for another big season and they usually hit the ground running better than Collingwood. Therefore, we’re taking the Cats to score the win.

They are the –13.5 favourites, so it’s not an easy line to cover, but they have the attacking power to score comfortably by double digits.

Betting tip: Geelong Cats –13.5 @ $1.90

Cats by 17

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Saturday 18/3/23

1:45pm North Melbourne Kangaroos vs West Coast Eagles @ Marvel Stadium

Two average teams meet here, but we can’t take the Kangaroos to win at $1.82 – we just can’t do it.

They have been shockingly bad over the last few years, and although the Eagles haven’t been much better recently, they have more upside.

Take the $2.02 for the underdog, but not many know what to expect in this clash.

Betting tip: West Coast Eagles @ $2.02

Eagles by 3

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4:35pm Port Adelaide Power vs Brisbane Lions @ Adelaide Oval

The Port Adelaide Power are always tough to beat at the Adelaide Oval, but they could be up against it on Saturday.

Expectations are high for the Brisbane Lions, who come with a formidable roster, and every chance of getting their year off to a winning start.

We expect their current odds to firm throughout the week, so take the $1.77.

Betting tip: Brisbane Lions @ $1.77

Lions by 10

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7:25pm Melbourne Demons vs Western Bulldogs @ MCG

Bookmakers have this game framed closer than we expected. Melbourne is the $1.51 favourite to beat the Bulldogs, and that’s a fair price.

We rated the Bulldogs at around $2.80, so the $2.56 is a tough too short for our liking. However, we respect when there is money for the underdog.

Therefore, we’re taking the Bulldogs +11.5. There is enough betting support to suggest it could be a tight contest.

Betting tip: Western Bulldogs +11.5 @ $1.90

Demons by 6

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8:00pm Gold Coast Suns vs Sydney Swans @ Heritage Bank Stadium

It could be a long year for the Gold Coast Suns, so we’re taking the Sydney Swans to get their season off to a winning start.

Expectations are high for the Swans, who were good in 2022, and that’s something to build on for their future.

Playing on the road is never easy, but the $1.57 and –9.5 is a good market against a team struggling with confidence.

Betting tip: Sydney Swans –9.5 @ $1.90

Swans by 15

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Sunday 19/3/23

1:10pm GWS Giants vs Adelaide Crows @ GIANTS Stadium

Making the playoffs would be a massive success for the Giants and Crows, so getting off to a winning start is big.

We think the Giants have a better chance of doing that and our expectations for the Crows are low. Therefore, take the Giants to win their opening game.

$1.67 is a fair price from bookmakers and the Crows would have only been entertained had they been playing at home.

Betting tip: GWS Giants @ $1.67

Giants by 7

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3:20pm Hawthorn Hawks vs Essendon Bombers @ MCG

It could be an explosive start for the Bombers, who have attracted plenty of attention in betting markets.

Punters never know what to expect from Essendon, but it plays well at the start of the season most years.

The Hawks are more than capable of pulling off an upset, but we’re including Essendon in our AFL picks.

Betting tip: Essendon Bombers –9.5 @ $1.90

Bombers by 12

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4:40pm St Kilda Saints vs Fremantle Dockers @ Marvel Stadium

Fremantle is one of our picks to play well in 2023, so we’re naturally picking it to win in Round 1.

The Dockers have all the makings of a quality team, and although the Saints are a solid unit, there is more spark with the visitors.

Winning on the road isn’t easy but take the Dockers to win.

Betting tip: Fremantle Dockers –8.5 @ $1.90

Dockers by 13

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About Daryl Curnow

After graduating from the University of Auckland (BA - English), Daryl was thrown into the world of sports and horse racing journalism. Having worked as a racing journalist for two years, he decided to move into the online world of horse racing and sports writing. After years of honing his craft, Daryl became a professional punter in 2009 - with a focus on horse racing, NRL, AFL, NBA, Rugby, NFL, and US college sports. Daryl's tips have been featured on various websites around the world before joining the GoBet team. When he's not working, Daryl tries to avoid making bogeys on the golf course.